ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Trump tariff war triggers USD surge, ‘risk’ slump ...Middle East

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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Trump tariff war triggers USD surge, ‘risk’ slump

Tariffs, read from the bottom up for the chronology

JP Morgan on Trump tariffs - reinforce their bullish view on goldPersistent Trump tariffs mean a minus 5% hit to Canada's economy, Mexico -8%, US -1%AUD/USD dipped under 0.61Ethereum implodesBank of Canada will implement six consecutive quarter-point interest rate cutsGoldman Sachs says the medium term risks to oil prices is skewed to the downsideUS TreasSec Bessent said tariffs inflationary, not good "for a US industrial renaissance”AUD/USD falls to to its lowest since early 2020Trump says he'll speak with Canada's Trudeau on MondayTrump tariffs end ‘self-delusion in markets’Trump's tariff trade war launch bolsters the case for Reserve Bank of Australia rate cutsTrump tariff trade war - inflation, economic shock, hit to consumers, supply chain chaosNew Zealand benchmark equity index, S&P/NZX 50 falls nearly 2%Trump inflicts economic pain for Americans with his tariff war launchEarly Monday - Trump tariffs slam Stocks, surge the USDTrump and DumpGoldman Sachs: We think Canada and Mexico tariffs are likely to be short-livedTrump: Tariffs on Canada can be removed if 'enough steps' taken to reduce health crisisWhite House says Trump has signed order to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China

Other

    Federal Reserve speakers on Monday include Bostic and MusalemCaixin China Manufacturing PMI (January 2025) 50.1 vs. expected 50.5Australia retail sales December 2024 -0.1%% m/m (expected -0.7%)Australian building permits for December 2024: +0.7% m/m (expected +1.0%)Japan Manufacturing PMI January (final) 48.7 (prior 49.6)Australian private survey of inflation, January 2025: +0.1% m/m (prior +0.6%)BoJ January meeting summary - one member cited upside inflation riskPreview of the FX options expiries for Monday, February 3, 2025 at the 10 am NY cutAustralia S&P Global PMI Manufacturing January, final read 50.2 (flash 49.8 prior 47.8)Trade ideas thread - Monday, 3 February, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideasNewsquawk Week Ahead: US, Canada and NZ Jobs, US ISMs, BoE, EZ CPI, BoJ SOO, JMMCWeekly Market Outlook (03-07 February)Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: A tangled tariff web we weave

    Over the weekend Trump announced tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico.

    Markets here in the very early hours started with a large gap higher for the USD. On the flip side, large gaps down for CAD, EUR, AUD, GBP, NZD. There was some early support for the yen on the basis of expectations of ‘safe haven’ flow benefiting JPY but USD/JPY has subsequently traded higher.

    Of the large gaps down for those currencies, any gap fill has been minor only – large holes remain.

    Equities in the region have been hit lower, Japan’s Nikkei is down 2.5% or so.

    US equity index futures had a large gap lower upon Sunday evening trade opening the week. As I post these are barely off their lows.

    Crypto is lower, at one stage ETH/USD was down circa 30%.

    Gold is lower.

    The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI for January 2025 squeeked in an expansion, its fourth consecutive month, at just 50.1. Employment fell in the sector. Australian retail sales fell in December m/m but not as badly as expected

    The USD index:

    This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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