What does a new administration in Washington, D.C., mean for San Diego County?
The prestigious Brookings Institution, working in partnership with the San Diego Regional Policy and Innovation Center, has offered practical predictions in order to help the region navigate an uncertain political and economic climate.
“We saw an extreme shift,” said Brookings Senior Fellow Adie Tomer, adding that not only have the concerns and preferences of the voting public changed, so has the American political system.
“There’s a lot of perceived threats… but it’s a lot easier to campaign on issues than it is to actually govern on them.”
The United States is in a very different place in some ways than it was in 2016, when Donald Trump was previously elected president, said Tomer.
One of those ways is through the Biden administration’s passage of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act in 2021, also called the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill, which put massive amounts of funding into overhauling the nation’s transportation, energy, and internet sectors.
The legislation expires in 2026.
“In 2025, we confidently expect there to be tax reform, much as we saw in 2017,” he said. That also translates to locking in Inflation Reduction Act-related tax credits now, particularly where benefits to individuals are concerned.
In that same vein, San Diegans should expect cuts ranging from minor to major to programs such as SNAP and Medicaid; consider how revisions to tax programs might affect future decisions, including voting behavior; have thoughtful plans to manage whatever new immigration laws are coming; and think about what new tariffs could mean to the local as well as national economies.
“For households here in the San Diego region — if you want to put rooftop solar on your house or get a heat pump, this is the time,” Tomer said.
Most of all, however, it’s important to factor in the strong possibility of unexpected developments that set the future of the United States on an entirely different trajectory, as much remains to be seen about how San Diego — as with every other region — responds to the particular pressures and demands of the incoming Trump administration.
The Brookings Institution joined up with the San Diego Foundation in 2021 in order to launch the San Diego Regional Policy & Innovation Center, which is intended to foster partnerships in order to address long-standing regional issues, such as social inequality and climate resilience.
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