Who Will Win 'Survivor 48'? After Watching Every Episode, Here Are Our Predictions ...Saudi Arabia

Across 13 weeks, Survivor 48 has cemented itself as the most "old-school" season of the New Era. The usual modern meta about voting blocs and cutting anyone deemed a threat was eschewed in lieu of the latter half of the season being dominated by a majority alliance that sought to change the game. They opted for allies to be found in physical strength, and moves to be made out of camaraderie and loyalty. But this is still Survivor after all, and that much was proven when the majority turned on their own after a well-placed lie from the game's most surreptitious duo. Now, only five players are left standing in the hunt for the title of Sole Survivor: Eva Erickson, Joe Hunter, Kamilla Karthigesu, Kyle Fraser and Mitch Guerra. And despite this season being about duos and "teams," only one can take home the prize. Ahead of Survivor 48's three-hour finale and aftershow, airing this Wednesday, May 21, here's how we gauge the chances of each of the remaining contestants to take home the million-dollar check.

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Who will win Survivor 48?

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Kyle Fraser

Kyle has spent the majority of the postmerge lying in wait, anticipating the perfect time for him to pounce. And he put his money where his mouth is in the hopes of winning a large sum of money, as last episode, he and Kamilla successfully concocted a plan to throw Shauhin under the bus to Joe and Eva. Despite even their own skepticism, their gambit worked, as they convinced the game's most powerful duo to turn on their own. With Kyle still in tight with Joe and Eva, as well as in his secret pair with Kamilla, he is one of the players most easily set up to make it to the Final Tribal Council.In making this move against Shauhin, Kyle aimed to undermine Joe's power, hoping to showcase to the jury that, despite what they might have seen, he was the one in control. And, indeed, this isn't the first time he snowed the firefighter, whether it was the advantage-laden move against Thomas at the swap or getting the majority to cannibalize their own by getting rid of David. But if Kyle is sitting there alongside the person so many have claimed would win if he got to Day 26, it could be a tough claim for him to successfully argue. And it's not like this humble "high school teacher" is a lawyer who's hiding his job, as well as a secret set of skills he could use to make his case, or anything...

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Joe Hunter

Joe truly is not like anyone we have seen on Survivor in some time. With his physical presence and leadership skills, he draws a lot of eyes to him. But rather than using fear to keep people loyal like a Boston Rob, Joe opts for the carrot rather than the stick. Fans have been astounded over the past several weeks to see nobody make a move against Joe, despite the fact that he has been in control of the vast majority of this game. Between his challenge record – having won four Immunity Challenges – his firemaking skills and the possibility of Eva even playing her idol on him, Joe has a very good shot of sitting in one of the Final Three chairs at the end. The question is: Can he win? On paper, certainly. Multiple times, players have claimed that if Joe gets to the end, between his likability and the control he's exerted, he wins. But there's a high likelihood that Joe falls into a classic trap for his Survivor archetype: Lack of ownership. Joe was a key part of the majority forming and solidifying over the past ten days, wanting to work with a group of people who prided loyalty and integrity above all. The thing is, it's incredibly difficult to maintain those values while playing a game where you vote people out. Indeed, jurors like David and Star have said in interviews that they felt burned by Joe going back on his word to look out for each other. Others like Mary were not happy with his clear attempts to pander for jury votes to the people at the bottom. So, while the fire captain may have blazed an impressive path to get himself to the end, his winning chances could possibly be doused if the jury felt he went back on his core values.

Related: Everything to Know About Survivor 48

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Kamilla Karthigesu

Fortunately, Kamilla had defied the low expectations her family set for her before coming out for Survivor 48, believing she'd be the first voted off. Unfortunately, she was not able to manufacture the "fluid" season she spoke to me about wanting in the preseason. But the software engineer successfully changed her coding to get her to this point. As the game solidified, Kamilla found herself on the outside looking in of an ironclad majority. But the major exception was Kyle, and the two Holes lovers have spent the game underground, crafting some of the biggest moves of the season. That culminated in the most recent episode, as Kamilla deployed her favorite tactic to throw Shauhin under the bus, lying that he had an idol.Kamilla goes into the finale still a bit on the outside of the Eva/Joe/Kyle majority, a position she purposely cemented by voting Mitch at the last Tribal Council. But, with Kyle seemingly refusing to vote her out, she just needs to get past the Final Five and she'll have a shot at the end through immunity, firemaking or her number one ally. The question, of course, with any duo is how the votes would shake out should both members get to the end. And indeed, even if Kamilla were to get to Day 26, showing how she was able to outplay some of the most physical players in recent memory, the question remains: Can she beat Kyle?

Robert Voets/CBS

Eva Erickson

Eva truly never expected the Survivor journey she has gotten so far. The show's first openly autistic player, she chose to keep her diagnosis hidden for the first half of the game, with Joe being the sole keeper of her secret. But everything came spilling out during an incredibly emotional challenge on Day 11, as the tension led to her having an "episode," being comforted by Joe publicly to help her regulate. In that moment, Eva decided to reveal her autism to the rest of the cast, even getting Jeff Probst choked up in the process. And she subsequently had a record bounceback from that massive low, as, going back to camp, Star let her have the idol that she spent the entire premerge trying to acquire.With that idol still intact, Eva is the only person guaranteed to go to the Final Four. She also has a concrete locked-in number one in Joe. Because of this, fans have been questioning the entire postmerge why nobody has taken a shot at Eva, or even tried to flush her idol. And the answer may have been found in this most recent episode. When talking through options with Kyle, Shauhin said that Eva was not considered that much of a jury threat. And a secret scene this week shows how much she has been struggling, as her physical deterioration is causing the hockey player's mental strength to break down as well. Eva's story and what she has had to contend with are admirable and inspirational, certainly to be lauded. But if her presence has shrunk both physically and strategically, there's a chance the jury wouldn't commend her fortitude with a million dollars.Related: Here's 50 Players Who Should Be on 'Survivor 50'

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Mitch Guerra

Survivor 48's cast truly stands out with all of the incredible life stories they brought to the island. Mitch has lived with a stutter all of his life, and when he saw Christy Smith in Survivor: The Amazon, he made it a decade-long mission to get onto the show. Once his feet finally hit the beach, the P.E. teacher showcased his physical prowess, being one of the most clutch challenge performers in the premerge. And it's clear that he's incredibly liked by the other players, something that had the majority looking to target him last episode before things went cock-eyed.Unfortunately, for that reason, Mitch seems served up as the most likely next boot going into the finale. In a season all about duos, Mitch is a single between two pairs, and failing to have that person to ride for him could make him an easy vote. Even if he were to make it to Day 26, Mitch's gameplay this season can be labeled as fairly passive. Despite being on the outside, he chose not to jockey for any shake-up to the status quo, at one point actively declining a chance to tie the vote and switch up the game since he didn't trust Star and Mary. This has been a very emotional and relationship-driven season of Survivor. But I'm not sure if that alone would be enough for "Mailman Mitch" to deliver a win in the end.

Related: 'Survivor 48's Shauhin Davari Explains Why He Could Have Beaten Joe in the End (Exclusive)

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