With Match 41 of IPL 2025 completed, the playoff race has intensified, with teams battling for the top four spots. While some franchises are comfortably placed, others are facing an uphill task to stay in contention.
Gujarat Titans and Delhi Capitals remain the frontrunners, boasting 91 percent and 85 percent chances of qualification, respectively. Both teams have been dominant throughout the season and need just two more wins to secure their playoff spots. Their strong net run rates further solidify their position at the top.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru and Punjab Kings have seen slight dips in their qualification probabilities, now standing at 62 percent and 58 percent, respectively. Both teams need at least three wins from their remaining matches to ensure a playoff berth.
IPL playoffs qualification chances
IPL 2025 Playoff Qualification Chances after Match 4191% – Gujarat85% – Delhi62% – Bengaluru (2%)58% – Punjab (3%)————————-51% – Mumbai (15%)34% – Lucknow (2%)15% – Kolkata2% – Rajasthan1% – Hyderabad (4%)0.8% – Chennai t.co/jH4ARdXMxj pic.twitter.com/d2fcVfFyDz
— Krishna Kumar (@KrishnaKRM) April 24, 2025IPL playoffs qualification scenarios
Mumbai Indians have made the biggest leap, improving their chances by 15 percent to 51 percent after their crucial win against Sunrisers Hyderabad. With momentum on their side, they now require four wins from their last seven matches to stay in the hunt.
Lucknow Super Giants have seen a minor decline, now at 34 percent, while Kolkata Knight Riders remain in a precarious position at 15 percent. Both teams need a strong finish to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad are on the brink of elimination, with 2 percent and 1 percent chances, respectively. They must win nearly all their remaining matches and rely on other results to stay in contention. Chennai Super Kings, with just 0.8 percent probability, face the toughest challenge, needing a miracle to qualify.
IPL 2025 playoffs qualification chances for all 10 teams after Match 41 Inside Sport India.
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