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Gold Futures Technical Analysis: Crucial Levels to Watch Before the Market Opens
As traders prepare for the opening of the gold futures market, understanding key technical levels and potential scenarios is crucial. In the following video, Itai Levitan from ForexLive (soon transitioning to InvestingLive.com this summer) provides a comprehensive pre-market analysis highlighting critical junctures and strategic trading considerations.
Key Technical Observations:
Channel Breakout & Trap Dynamics:
On Friday, June 20, gold futures initially broke below a significant bearish channel near 3,368 but quickly reversed upwards.
This rapid reversal trapped short sellers and activated bullish momentum, reinforced by a strong bullish candle formation.
Potential Bull Flag Formation:
The current bullish structure may indicate a bull flag scenario. If the price breaks above approximately 3,390, traders could see confirmation of further upward momentum.
A critical retest zone to watch closely is around the 3,382-3,390 region, a key psychological and technical area.
Strategic Trading Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
Traders seeking confirmation may consider waiting for two consecutive hourly closes above 3,390.
An optimal long entry could be around a retest near 3,382, with a prudent stop-loss just below 3,372.
The upside target, especially appealing to swing traders, extends significantly toward 3,500, offering a reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 11.5.
Employing partial profit-taking and adjusting stops to breakeven after initial targets are met aligns with disciplined risk management, integral to methodologies like Trade Compass.
Bearish Scenario:
Should prices fail again and decisively break the lower boundary of the current bullish channel, bears may regain control.
The immediate bearish target would then shift towards approximately 3,325.
Gold Futures Market Context and Institutional Insights:
While the methodology primarily utilized by InvestingLive emphasizes advanced techniques involving volume profile and VWAP, keeping an eye on widely recognized technical indicators and channels remains valuable. Recognizing areas where other traders—both retail and algorithmic—might be trapped provides additional strategic insights and trading advantages.
Techincal Analysis on Gold is About Identifying the Important Junctions and Story Behind the Chart
Technical analysis isn't about forecasting certainties but about identifying strategic points of high reward potential relative to risk. Traders should remain adaptive, always prepared for either scenario, and apply disciplined risk management.
Stay informed with continuous market updates, analysis, and educational insights by returning to ForexLive, soon rebranding as investingLive.com
(Note: The embedded video containing the detailed chart analysis by Itai Levitan is available above.)
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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