Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Preview ...Middle East

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Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Preview

We look ahead to this Group A match at the 2025 Club World Cup with our Palmeiras vs Al Ahly prediction and preview. Can either side pick up their first win at the tournament following MD 1 draws?

Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Stats: The Key Insights

The Opta supercomputer predicts that Palmeiras (44.3%) are the most likely winners of this match in New Jersey on Thursday. Al Ahly faced Brazilian opponents six times in the previous format of the FIFA Club World Cup and won none of those games (D1 L5). Palmeiras and Al Ahly combined for 28 shot attempts, 13 on target, with a combined expected goals value of 4 in their opening Club World Cup matches against FC Porto and Inter Miami CF respectively, but both matches ended 0-0.

Following 0-0 draws for Palmeiras and Al Ahly on Matchday 1 of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, both sides will be looking to put one foot into the last 16 with a victory in this match at MetLife Stadium, New Jersey on Thursday.

    It was a case of missed opportunities for both clubs on MD 1 as Palmeiras and Al Ahly combined for 28 shot attempts, 13 on target, with a combined expected goals value of 4 in their respective matches against Porto and Inter Miami, but not a single goal was scored.

    Egyptian forward Trézéguet had the best opportunity but saw his first-half penalty saved by Inter Miami goalkeeper Óscar Ustari – one of eight shots on target that Al Ahly failed to convert in the match.

    Much of their attacking threat in 2024-25 has come via Emam Ashour, who finished as the Egyptian Premier League top goalscorer in 2024-25 (13 goals), while no player posted more assists than he did across the campaign (7). He is a major doubt for this match, however, after lasting just 14 minutes of the opening game before coming off injured.

    Estêvão is a player many will have an eye on at this tournament, with a transfer to Chelsea already agreed following the Club World Cup. He recorded a non-penalty expected goals value of 0.89 vs Porto, the highest of any player in Group A on MD 1. It was the first time Estêvão had a non-pen xG that high in a match without scoring since a July 2024 league game against Atlético Goianiense (0.96).

    The Egyptian giants will need to improve on their previous form against Brazilian sides if they are to have any success in this match. Al Ahly have faced opponents from Brazil six times in the previous format of the FIFA Club World Cup and won none of those games (D1 L5) – their one draw was goalless against Palmeiras before they won 3-2 on penalties in February 2021.

    Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Prediction

    Palmeiras are tipped to win this match by the Opta supercomputer, winning 44.3% of its 10,000 pre-match simulations. After they arguably should have defeated Inter Miami on MD 1, Al Ahly are being given a 29.6% chance of picking up their first win of the tournament, while there’s a 26.0% chance they pick up a draw for a second successive match.

    Following MD 1, Palmeiras (52.9%) are the second favourites to progress through Group A and into the knockout stage behind Porto (60.3%), while Al Ahly are the outsiders (42.6%) just behind Lionel Messi and Inter Miami (44.1%).

    Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Squads

    PalmeirasMateus, Marcos Rocha, Bruno Fuchs, Agustín Giay, Aníbal Moreno, Vanderlan, Felipe Anderson, Richard Ríos, Vitor Roque, Paulinho, Mayke, Micael, Marcelo Lomba, Gustavo Gómez, Facundo Torres, Mauricio, Weverton, Joaquín Piquerez, Raphael Veiga, Murilo, Lucas Evangelista, Luighi, Emiliano Martínez, Kaiky Naves, Thalys, Allan, Estêvão, José Manuel López, Luiz Benedetti.

    Head Coach: Abel Ferreira

    Al AhlyMohamed El Shenawy, Khaled Abdelfattah, Omar Kamal, Ahmed Ramadan, Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane, Yasser Ibrahim, Trézéguet, Hamdy Fathy, Wessam Abou Ali, Nejc Gradišar, Karim El Debes, Marwan Attia, Hussein El Shahat, Achraf Dari, Achraf Bencharki, Mohamed Magdy, Emam Ashour, Aliou Dieng, Ahmed Reda, Zizo, Mohamed Seha, Mostafa El Aash, Taher Mohamed, Mohamed Hany, Mostafa Shobeir, Ahmed Nabil Koka, Mostafa Makhlouf, Yahya Attiyat Allah.

    Head Coach: José Riveiro

    Opta Power Rankings

    The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

    Ahead of kick-off, here are the Opta Power Rankings for both sides.

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    Palmeiras vs Al Ahly Prediction: 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Preview Opta Analyst.

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