Best MLB prop bets today [May 30, 2025] ...Middle East

Kyle Freeland is set to take the mound for the Colorado Rockies to battle it out against the New York Mets.

Positive regression looms large over the New York Mets offense as they are set to face off against Kyle Freeland who has struggled with avoiding contact this season. Especially with his defense failing to give him the protection he needs to help round back into competitive form as the Colorado Rockies back end grades out poorly in coverage.

With 15 total games taking place on Friday’s slate, there are plenty of prop bets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

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Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets (7:10pm, EST)

Kyle Freeland over 5.5 hits allowed (-160) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It has been a rough start to the year for Colorado’s Kyle Freeland as the Rockies pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.681. His low level of play on the mound can be attributed to his struggles with avoiding contact as Freeland is also averaging more than one Hit Against and less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Heading into Friday night’s contest against the New York Mets, Freeland’s struggles with avoiding contact are poised to persist as he faces off against an offense who ranks in the top half of the board in Team Total Hits and 23rd overall in Strikeout Rate. Expect the Mets to take advantage of Freeland’s lack of command and continue to generate Hits at a high rate.

Kyle Freeland over 2.5 earned runs (-145) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With the Mets offense projected to make contact at a consistent rate, they will find themselves in scoring position early and often against the Rockies.

Especially with Colorado’s back end grading out poorly in coverage as the Rockies defense ranks 30th overall in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres (9:40pm, EST)

Nick Pivetta over 17.5 outs (-165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While the San Diego Padres offense have struggled to recapture the same success they had last season, their defense has managed to remain competitive. Nick Pivetta has played a major role in their high marks on defense as the Padres starting pitcher is averaging an ERA of 2.72, a WHIP of 1.012, a FIP of 3.23, and 6.3 Strikeouts per game. His back end also helps lessen the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Padres rank eighth overall in Defensive Efficiency.

Against Pittsburgh, expect Pivetta to go the distance as he faces off against a Pirates offense who ranks well below league average in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. If the total on Pivetta’s Outs prop climbs up to 18.5, then pass on this market.

Bryan Reynolds under 0.5 hit: (-165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Not only does Pivetta generate Strikeouts at a high rate, but the Padres pitcher also excels at avoiding contact as he averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

His ability to create Whiffs spells disaster for Bryan Reynolds as the Pirates batter averages less than one Hit per game and a 0.222 Batting Average. Expect Reynolds to continue to struggle with making contact and be held under the total on his Hits prop.

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals (8:10pm, EST)

Casey Mize Over 17.5 Outs: (-145) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Casey Mize has been a reliable pitcher for the Detroit Tigers this season as he currently averages an ERA of 2.49, a WHIP of 1.007, and less than 5 Hits Against per game. Mize is also surrounded by a very productive back end as the Tigers defense ranks fifth overall in Defensive Efficiency and seventh in Fielding Percentage.

Against Kansas City, Mize is in a favorable position to sustain his high level of play as he battles it out against a Royals offense who struggles with getting on base at a league average rate. As of writing, the Royals offense ranks in the bottom half of the board in On Base Percentage and in Total Runs Scored. Expect Mize to keep the Royals out of scoring position for the duration of his outing to help cash this prop.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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