The La Liga match between Valencia and Espanyol on April 23, 2025, presents an intriguing contest as both teams exhibit commendable form. Valencia, currently positioned 14th in the league table, remains unbeaten in their last seven matches, securing four victories . Conversely, Espanyol occupies the 13th spot and is riding a three-game winning streak. Recent encounters suggest a competitive matchup; notably, their previous clash this season ended in a 1-1 draw. Historically, however, Valencia has struggled against Espanyol since July 2020 .
Valencia are in 14th place on the LaLiga points table. Although they have recently secured some positive results, the rest of their season can be termed as a poor one because of their lacklustre performances. They have only been able to win nine games after playing 32.
Espanyol are just a spot above them in the Spanish league standings. They have won 10 games this season and have shown some below-average performances. Espanyol’s last clash against their upcoming opponents was at home, but this time it will be an away contest for them.
Valencia possible starting lineup: Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Tarrega, Mosquera, Gaya; Rioja, Guerra, Barrenechea, Almeida; D Lopez, Sadiq
Espanyol possible starting lineup: J Garcia; El Hilali, Kumbulla, Cabrera, Romero; Gonzalez, Lozano; Carreras, Exposito, Puado; R Fernandez
Injury and Team News
Thierry Correia is injured and will not be in action for Valencia. Umar Sadiq is facing a suspension. Ivan Jaime’s availability depends on his match fitness.
Espanyol will be without the services of Brian Olivan and Jose Gragera as they have injuries.
Head-to-Head
Total matches: 27
Valencia won: 13
Espanyol won: 6
Draws: 8
Valencia is heavily favored to win with a 53.2% probability and Bet365 odds of $1.70, compared to Espanyol's 21.8% and $5.25. However, Stats Insider recommends betting on an Espanyol upset for better value and "Over 2.5 goals" at $2.10.Given those odds and implied probabilities, a straight Valencia win might feel like a sucker's bet, even if they are the more likely victors. The discrepancy between the raw probability and the payout just isn't enticing. Stats Insider clearly sees something the bookmakers aren't fully accounting for, hence the Espanyol recommendation. Perhaps Espanyol's recent form is underestimated, or maybe Valencia has some key players out. As for the "Over 2.5 goals" pick, that suggests an expectation of an open, attacking game, regardless of who wins. It's a play on the total score, banking on both teams contributing to the scoreboard and pushing the game past that 2.5 goal threshold. Definitely something to consider when weighing up your betting strategy for this match.
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