Will Manchester City be able to hold off their in-form visitors as both teams stake their claim for UEFA Champions League qualification? Look ahead to Tuesday’s Premier League game at the Etihad Stadium with our Man City vs Aston Villa prediction and preview.
Man City vs Aston Villa Stats: The Key Insights
Manchester City came out on top in exactly 50% of the Opta supercomputer’s data-led simulations for this game. Aston Villa have won their last three away Premier League matches, keeping a clean sheet in each. Their last longer away winning run was between November and February in 2008-09 (7). Man City have won their last 14 Premier League home games against Villa, scoring at least twice in each of the last 13.There isn’t a great deal at stake for many teams during the final stretch of the 2024-25 Premier League season, with Liverpool all but confirmed as champions, Arsenal likely to be runners-up, and the three teams promoted from the Championship set to be heading straight back down.
Where all of the drama seems to be unfolding is in the race for a place in the UEFA Champions League, with the extra incentive of a fifth spot having been awarded to the Premier League.
It seemingly boils down to the following: three of Aston Villa, Chelsea, Manchester City, Newcastle and Nottingham Forest will have a place in the Champions League next season, and two of them will not.
There are therefore huge implications for Tuesday night’s match between Manchester City and Aston Villa, who are currently separated by just one point. A defeat for either side in this game would be a major blow for hopes of participating in Europe’s premier competition next season.
Man City have been consistently inconsistent this season, but they do appear to have found some semblance of form late on in this campaign, with just one defeat from their last nine games in all competitions and a modicum of stability in Pep Guardiola’s lineup selections. Nonetheless, they are barely recognisable from the side that claimed a historic fourth consecutive top-flight title only 11 months ago.
Aston Villa on the other hand are arguably the form team in the Premier League, with 10 wins from their last 11 games in all competitions and five consecutive victories in the top flight.
It would have been understandable if their elimination from this season’s Champions League at the hands of an impressive Paris Saint-Germain side had dented their confidence, but they bounced back immediately last time out with a 4-1 defeat of Newcastle, who were themselves looking the league’s team to beat going into the game.
Villa will want to focus on recent form rather than historic precedent for their visit to the Etihad Stadium. They have won each of their last three away games in league competition and have done so without conceding a single goal; they haven’t won four or more consecutively on the road since a seven-game run that ended in February 2009.
What doesn’t bode well is their record at Man City, against whom they have lost on 14 consecutive visits in the Premier League, conceding at least twice in each of their last 13 trips.
In Premier League history, the only team to have lost more games consecutively away to an opponent are Newcastle, who have lost each of their last 16 games trips to Man City.
The Etihad certainly isn’t the stronghold it used to be, especially when it comes to Man City’s ability to obstruct their opponents’ goalscoring potential. City have conceded 21 goals at home in the league this season, last letting in more on home soil all the way back in 2003-04 (24), their first season after waving goodbye to Maine Road.
But that doesn’t mean they’ve lost their goalscoring touch. In fact, City have scored 36 goals from 11 home games in all competitions in 2025, at an average of 3.3 goals per game. If this figure were to hold throughout the calendar year, it would rank behind only 1898, 1895 and 2019 for goals per game at home for the club.
It is no coincidence that the year began with the purchase of Omar Marmoush from Eintracht Frankfurt. The Egyptian has scored six goals from six home league games for City, at an average of a goal every 81 minutes.
While Marmoush is the de-facto forward for City in the absence of the injured Erling Haaland, the centre-forward situation for opponents Villa is looking a little more uncertain.
Ollie Watkins has started only two of Villa’s last seven games in all competitions, and didn’t hide his frustration at having lost his place in the team to the on-loan Marcus Rashford for the two legs against Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League.
Watkins returned to the starting lineup out against Newcastle and staked his claim going forward with a goal and assist, taking his tally to 29 goal involvements for the season as a whole in all competitions. He also hit the frame of the goal twice.
Watkins has been directly involved in 48 goals away from home in the Premier League for Villa, with 34 goals and 14 assists; the only player with 50 or more goal involvements on the road for the Villans in the competition is Gabriel Agbonlahor (40 goals, 19 assists).
Man City vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head
Man City have won their last 14 Premier League home games against Aston Villa, scoring at least twice in each of the last 13. Their last defeat was in April 2007 under Stuart Pearce.
Aston Villa have won two of their last three league games against Man City, as many as in their previous 23. One of those wins came in the reverse fixture back in December; Villa haven’t completed the league double over City since the 1962-63 season.
Man City vs Aston Villa Prediction
Manchester City are predicted to win this game against Aston Villa.
While there isn’t much separating these two sides on paper at the moment, the Opta supercomputer still regards City as strong favourites here, with the club coming out on top in half of the 10,000 data-led simulations.
Villa took home all three points in 26.8% of simulations, while the likelihood of a draw sits at 23.1%.
Man City vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday night, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
Man City vs Aston Villa Prediction Opta Analyst.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Man City vs Aston Villa Prediction )
Also on site :
- Palestinian activist Khalil denied release for son’s birth, wife says
- Education Ministry rehabilitates 70 schools since Assad regime’s fall
- Pope Francis’s will in full: Pontiff’s final wishes and place of burial