Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction and free live stream

The La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano on April 13, 2025, presents an intriguing contest for football enthusiasts. According to statistical analyses, Athletic Bilbao holds a slight edge with a 52.3% probability of winning the match, compared to Rayo Vallecano's 21.2% chance . This data is derived from extensive simulations that assess team performance and historical outcomes. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26.5%, indicating that the matchup may be competitive despite Bilbao’s favorable odds.

Athletic Club played Villarreal on their travels in their last La Liga game. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio de la Ceramica. Ernesto Valverde's team had 43% possession and recorded four shots on target.

On Thursday night, Athletic played out a goalless draw when visiting Scottish Premiership side Rangers in the first leg of the Europa League quarter-final stage.

With 54 points, Athletic are comfortable in fourth place with a six-point lead over Villarreal. Vallecano have 40 points and are three points outside the top seven places and an outside bet to qualify for Europe.

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A 0-0 draw at Ibrox against the Rangers in the Europa League on Thursday meant Athletic have now recorded three successive 0-0 draws. That said, four clean sheets in a row are a reason why they are unbeaten in six competitive matches.

While the next week’s second leg casts a shadow over their preparations, Athletic will be comfortable knowing they are unbeaten in seven home matches in a row.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup: Simon; Gorosabel, Vivian, Paredes, Yuri; Jauregizar, Prados; I Williams, Sancet, N Williams; Guruzeta

Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup: Batalla; Ratiu, Hernandez, Lejeune, Chavarria; U Lopez, Ciss; De Frutos, Palazon, A Garcia; Nteka

Betting insights further complicate the prediction landscape. While Bet365 favors Athletic Bilbao with odds of $1.91, Stats Insider suggests considering Rayo Vallecano at $4.75 as a value bet . Moreover, while the statistical model indicates a strong possibility for fewer than 2.5 total goals in the match (59%), there remains an appeal in betting on "Over 2.5 goals" due to potential high-scoring scenarios .

For fans eager to follow this encounter live, it is essential to seek out reliable streaming platforms as no specific free live stream information has been provided in recent analyses . Engaging with this match could offer not only thrilling entertainment but also valuable insights into both teams' strategies moving forward in the season.

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Sarah H

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