By James Sutherland on SwimSwam
2025 Men’s NCAA Swimming and Diving Championships
March 26-29, 2025 Weyerhaeuser King County Aquatics Center, Federal Way, Washington Short Course Yards (25 yards) Live Results Final Results Live Recaps Prelims: Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 4 Finals: Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 4The NCAA Championships are arguably the most unpredictable meets of the year, but we do our best to forecast what’s to come in each event before chaos takes over on two Wednesday nights every March.
In the men’s meet, we correctly picked seven of the eight ‘A’ finalists (or top eight finishers) in nine of the 18 swimming events, while we went a perfect 8/8 three times and 6/8 five times, with our worst showing coming in the 400 IM (5/8).
Overall, in our previews, we picked 122 of 144 ‘A’ finalists or top eight finishers correctly (84.72%), which is significantly better than we did in the women’s meet (107/144 or 74.31%).
Below, find our top eight picks in each event, along with where the swimmer/relay team ended up finishing. We’ve also included who finished in the top eight we didn’t predict under “Moving In,” and the number in the bottom right of each event indicates how well we did in picking the top eight.
See all of our picks at the SwimSwam Preview Index here.200 Medley Relay
PREDICTED FINISH TEAM ACTUAL FINISH 1 Tennessee 2nd 2 Florida DQ 3 Texas 1st 4 Cal 3rd 5 Indiana 5th 6 Arizona State 4th 7 NC State 6th 8 Florida State 7th Moving In Georgia 7/8800 Free Relay
PREDICTED FINISH TEAM ACTUAL FINISH 1 Texas 2nd 2 Florida 8th 3 Cal 1st 4 Georgia 3rd 5 Alabama 4th 6 Indiana 6th 7 Stanford 5th 8 NC State 7th Moving In 8/8500 Free
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Rex Maurer (Texas) 1st 2 Luke Hobson (Texas) 2nd 3 Jake Magahey (Georgia) 4th 4 Lucas Henveaux (Cal) 3rd 5 Gabriel Jett (Cal) 30th 6 Charlie Hawke (Alabama) 6th 7 David Johnston (Texas) 10th 8 Tomas Koski (Georgia) 5th Moving In Zalan Sarkany (Indiana), Jovan Lekic (LSU) 6/8200 IM
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Destin Lasco (Cal) 2nd 2 Hubert Kos (Texas) 1st 3 Owen McDonald (Indiana) 3rd 4 Julian Smith (Florida) 6th 5 Gal Cohen Groumi (Michigan) 7th 6 Nate Germonprez (Texas) 31st 7 Carles Coll Marti (Virginia Tech) 4th 8 Will Modglin (Texas) DQ (‘A’ Final) Moving In Ron Polonsky (Stanford) 7/850 Free
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Jordan Crooks (Tennessee) 1st 2 Josh Liendo (Florida) 2nd 3 Gui Caribe (Tennessee) 3rd 4 Jack Alexy (Cal) 5th 5 Chris Guiliano (Texas) 5th 6 Ilya Kharun (ASU) 4th 7 Bjorn Seeliger (Cal) 11th 8 Jonny Kulow (ASU) 7th Moving In Quintin McCarty (NC State) 7/8200 Free Relay
PREDICTED FINISH TEAM ACTUAL FINISH 1 Tennessee 1st 2 Florida 3rd 3 Arizona State 2nd 4 NC State 5th 5 Cal 4th 6 Indiana 7th 7 Virginia Tech 13th 8 Texas 6th Moving In Texas A&M 7/8100 Fly
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Josh Liendo (Florida) 1st 2 Ilya Kharun (ASU) 2nd 3 Luca Urlando (Georgia) 3rd 4 Tomer Frankel (Indiana) 13th 5 Andrei Minakov (Stanford) 6th 6 Youssef Ramadan (Virginia Tech) 8th 7 Dare Rose (Cal) 4th 8 Tyler Ray (Michigan) 7th Moving In Scotty Buff (Florida) 7/8400 IM
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Rex Maurer (Texas) 1st 2 Tristan Jankovics (Ohio State) 2nd 3 Baylor Nelson (Texas A&M) 7th 4 Jake Magahey (Georgia) 4th 5 Jack Hoagland (SMU) 19th 6 Tommy Bried (Louisville) 15th 7 Gio Linscheer (Florida) 12th 8 David Johnston (Texas) 8th Moving In Lucas Henveaux (Cal), Dominik Mark Torok (Wisconsin), Cooper Lucas (Texas) 5/8200 Free
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Luke Hobson (Texas) 1st 2 Chris Guiliano (Texas) 2nd 3 Jack Alexy (Cal) 5th 4 Jordan Crooks (Tennessee) 6th 5 Charlie Hawke (Alabama) 4th 6 Gabriel Jett (Cal) 3rd 7 Tomas Koski (Georgia) 6th 8 Tomas Navikonis (Ohio State) 15th Moving In Henry McFadden (Stanford) 7/8100 Breast
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Julian Smith (Florida) 1st 2 Finn Brooks (Indiana) 4th 3 Nate Germonprez (Texas) 3rd 4 Brian Benzing (Indiana) 11th 5 Yamato Okadome (Cal) 7th 6 Caspar Corbeau (Indiana) 6th 7 Jack Kelly (Brown) 8th 8 Denis Petrashov (Louisville) 2nd Moving In Ron Polonsky (Stanford) 7/8100 Back
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Owen McDonald (Indiana) 6th 2 Jonny Marshall (Florida) 2nd 3 Will Modglin (Texas) 7th 4 Hubert Kos (Texas) 1st 5 Destin Lasco (Cal) 5th 6 Ruard van Renen (Georgia) 3rd 7 Mewen Tomac (Cal) 4th 8 Michel Arkhangelskiy (FSU) 16th Moving In Johnny Crush (Army) 7/8400 Medley Relay
PREDICTED FINISH TEAM ACTUAL FINISH 1 Florida 1st 2 Indiana 5th 3 Cal 4th 4 Texas 2nd 5 Tennessee 10th 6 Arizona State 3rd 7 Stanford 7th 8 NC State 9th Moving In Georgia, Michigan 6/81650 Free
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 David Johnston (Texas) 7th 2 Zalan Sarkany (Indiana) 1st 3 Rex Maurer (Texas) 2nd 4 Lucas Henveaux (Cal) 3rd 5 Owen Lloyd (NC State) 5th 6 Levi Sandidge (Kentucky) 8th 7 Lance Norris (NC State) 13th 8 Daniel Matheson (ASU) 10th Moving In Noah Millard (Yale), Carson Hick (Kentucky) 6/8200 Back
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Hubert Kos (Texas) 1st 2 Destin Lasco (Cal) 2nd 3 Jonny Marshall (Florida) 5th 4 Owen McDonald (Indiana) 6th 5 Gabriel Jett (Cal) 3rd 6 Will Modglin (Texas) 8th 7 Keaton Jones (Cal) 9th 8 Oleksandr Zheltiakov (NC State) 30th Moving In Mewen Tomac (Cal), Ruard van Renen (Georgia) 6/8100 Free
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Josh Liendo (Florida) 1st 2 Jordan Crooks (Tennessee) 2nd 3 Gui Caribe (Tennessee) 3rd 4 Jonny Kulow (ASU) 6th 5 Jack Alexy (Cal) 4th 6 Jere Hribar (LSU) 7th 7 Chris Guiliano (Texas) 5th 8 Connor Foote (Texas A&M) 25th Moving In Matt King (Indiana) 7/8200 Breast
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Matt Fallon (Penn) 2nd 2 Carles Coll Marti (Virginia Tech) 3rd 3 Jassen Yep (Indiana) 1st 4 Josh Matheny (Indiana) 14th 5 Caspar Corbeau (Indiana) 5th 6 Jack Kelly (Brown) 8th 7 Yamato Okadome (Cal) 6th 8 Nate Germonprez (Texas) 9th Moving In Denis Petrashov (Louisville), Jacob Eccleston (Louisville) 6/8200 Fly
PREDICTED FINISH SWIMMER ACTUAL FINISH 1 Luca Urlando (Georgia) 1st 2 Ilya Kharun (ASU) 3rd 3 Dare Rose (Cal) 2nd 4 Andrei Minakov (Stanford) 4th 5 Martin Espernberger (Tennessee) 5th 6 Krzysztof Chmielewski (USC) 6th 7 Jake Magahey (Georgia) 7th 8 Colin Geer (Michigan) 8th Moving In 8/8400 Free Relay
PREDICTED FINISH TEAM ACTUAL FINISH 1 Tennessee 1st 2 Florida 3rd 3 Arizona State 2nd 4 Cal 4th 5 NC State 6th 6 Indiana 5th 7 Texas 7th 8 Virginia Tech 8th Moving In 8/8TAKEAWAYS
Georgia and Stanford were the two teams that outperformed expectations the most in terms of landing swimmers in the ‘A’ final or securing top-eight relay finishes, with both teams earning a trio of them that we didn’t predict. The Bulldogs placed two relays in the top eight that we didn’t predict: the 200 and 400 medley relays, where they finished 8th and 6th, respectively (in the 200 medley, they initially finished 9th before Florida was disqualified). Ruard van Renen also placed 7th in the 200 back after he wasn’t picked to be an ‘A’ finalist (van Renen was also 3rd in the 100 back after he was picked 6th). The Cardinal had senior Ron Polonsky step up and make the ‘A’ final in the 200 IM and 100 breast, finishing 5th in both after he wasn’t picked to make the top eight in either. Stanford sophomore Henry McFadden also claimed 8th in the 200 free after he was predicted to be on the outside looking in. Louisville placed Denis Petrashov and Jacob Eccleston in the 200 breast ‘A’ final after neither was predicted to crack it. Strictly looking at event winners, our previews correctly picked 12 of 18, with four of our predicted winners finishing 2nd. We also picked Owen McDonald to win the 100 back (ended up 6th) and David Johnston to win the 1650 free (ended up 7th). The swimmers we picked to make the ‘A’ final who missed earning a second swim altogether were Nate Germonprez in the 200 IM (31st), Gabriel Jett in the 500 free (30th), Oleksandr Zheltiakov in the 200 back (30th), Connor Foote in the 100 free (25th) and Jack Hoagland in the 400 IM (19th).Read the full story on SwimSwam: Reviewing SwimSwam’s 2025 NCAA Event Predictions – Men’s Edition
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