Brighton are rated as favourites in their FA Cup quarter-final against Nottingham Forest, despite being hammered by the Tricky Trees at the start of February. Look ahead to the game with our Brighton vs Nottingham Forest prediction and preview.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta supercomputer makes Brighton favourites on home turf, with a 46.2% win probability to Nottingham Forest’s 27.2%. Forest have lost each of their past three FA Cup quarter-final ties. Conversely, Brighton have progressed from both of their previous two last-eight encounters in the competition.Brighton will have home advantage against Nottingham Forest as they look to take a step closer towards a first major trophy in the FA Cup quarter-finals.
The two teams meet at the Amex Stadium on Saturday knowing they are now just one game away from punching their ticket to the last four and a trip to Wembley.
Recent omens actually look pretty good for the Seagulls, who have progressed from their past two FA Cup quarter-final ties.
They defeated Millwall on penalties in the 2018-19 campaign, before hammering Grimsby Town 5-0 in the 2022-23 competition.
Indeed, since the start of that latter season, only Manchester City (48) and Manchester United (33) have scored more FA Cup goals (first round onwards) than Brighton, who have racked up 30 in their 11 games.
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48 minutes ago Oliver HopkinsJoão Pedro could well be the dangerman for Fabian Hürzeler’s side, with the Brazilian forward registering seven goal involvements in his past four starts in the FA Cup, scoring six and assisting another.
Forest are having an outstanding season, riding high in third in the Premier League and just one win away from the fans getting the chance to walk down Wembley Way.
However, their recent history at this stage of the competition has not been particularly kind. Forest have lost their previous three quarter-final ties, all by a 1-0 scoreline.
They have not reached the semi-finals of the world’s oldest cup competition since 1990-91. They went on to make the final that year, ultimately beaten by Tottenham in the Wembley showpiece.
If the match goes all the way to penalties, though, Forest will fancy their chances. Three of their previous five FA Cup ties have gone to a shootout, and Forest have progressed from all of them.
Overall, they have triumphed in all four of their FA Cup shootouts, with only Macclesfield Town and Stevenage (both 5/5) boasting a better 100% record in the competition proper.
Leading scorer Chris Wood is set to miss out for Forest having hobbled off playing for New Zealand against New Caledonia in midweek. His loss will be even greater considering he has more goals against Brighton (12) than any other opponent in his English club career in all competitions, including four goals against them this season alone.
Brighton have several doubts ahead of the tie, with Matt O’Riley and Solly March hoping to feature. Tariq Lamptey has a foot injury and could miss out, while Lewis Dunk and Joel Veltman will hope the international break came at a good time having both endured spells on the sidelines.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head
This contest represents the first meeting between these teams in the FA Cup.
Forest have progressed from the two cup ties between the teams, winning 3-1 in the 1977-78 League Cup quarter-finals and 3-0 on aggregate in the 1986-87 League Cup second round.
In the Premier League this season, Forest hammered Brighton 7-0 last month following a 2-2 draw in September. The last time they scored 10+ goals against an opponent in a single season was in 1997-98 (10 versus Doncaster Rovers).
Brighton last conceded 10 in a single campaign against a team in 1980-81 (10 against Manchester United).
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Forest may have hammered Brighton last time out in February, but the hosts are still favourites for this clash, holding a 46.2% win probability in 90 minutes with the supercomputer from the 10,000 simulations conducted.
The visitors boast a 27.2% probability inside 90 mins, with the draw – and subsequently extra-time and possibly penalties required – rated at a 26.6% chance.
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: FA Cup Quarter-Final Preview Opta Analyst.
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