Both sides will want a response from Premier League defeats last time out. We look ahead to Wednesday’s clash with our Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction and preview.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Stats: The Key Insights
Arsenal are backed as the favourites by the Opta supercomputer, winning 47.9% of pre-match simulations. Nottingham Forest have lost seven of their last eight Premier League games against Arsenal. Chris Wood has been involved in six goals in his last three top-flight home games (5 goals, 1 assist).Arsenal‘s pursuit of Liverpool in the Premier League title race looks set to be unsuccessful, but Mikel Arteta’s side will hope to consolidate second place when they visit Nottingham Forest.
Wednesday’s meeting at the City Ground pits second against third in the competition, though Arsenal are six points clear of Nuno Espírito Santo’s side. Both sides were defeated at the weekend, with Arsenal slipping to a surprise 1-0 home defeat against West Ham, while Forest fell on the wrong side of a 4-3 thriller at Newcastle United.
Jarrod Bowen‘s header inspired Graham Potter’s side to victory at the Emirates Stadium as Arsenal saw their 15-match unbeaten streak halted in abrupt fashion. Arteta’s men have not lost back-to-back league games since December 2023 – but, coincidentally, the first defeat in that run came at home to West Ham.
Myles Lewis-Skelly was also dismissed in Saturday’s loss, with Arsenal receiving their fifth red card of the Premier League campaign. Only in the 1998-99 (7), 2001-02 (6) and 2010-11 (6) seasons have they been given more red cards in the competition.
Arteta will at least take some comfort from Arsenal’s strong record in evening kick-offs, winning 12 of their last 13 to start after 7pm in the Premier League. They have won their last nine in a row, since that aforementioned 2-0 loss to West Ham in 2023.
However, Forest will fancy their chances at the City Ground. Nuno’s side have won five of their last six Premier League home games, holding Liverpool to a 1-1 draw in the other, which is as many victories as they had in their previous 20 (D4 L11).
Central to any home hope will be talisman Chris Wood. The Forest forward has been involved in six goals in his last three home games in the competition (5 goals, 1 assist). Wood netted a hat-trick against Brighton last time out on his own turf, marking the first time he has scored in three home games in a row in the competition.
The New Zealand international also assisted Nikola Milenković‘s cute second-half finish at Newcastle, where Nuno was left to rue a first-half collapse that saw Forest slip to 4-1 down after Callum Hudson-Odoi‘s early opener.
Ryan Yates‘ 90th-minute goal teed up a grandstand finish, though the visitors could not forge a stunning comeback as the defeat left them with just a three-point cushion over Manchester City and Newcastle.
As for the team news, Carlos Miguel is the only known absentee for Forest. The same can’t be said for Arsenal, who will be without Gabriel Martinelli, Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, Takehiro Tomiyasu and the suspended Lewis-Skelly.
Ethan Nwaneri, who scored his first Premier League goal against Forest in the reverse fixture, limped off against West Ham but Arteta put his removal down to “fatigue”. The 17-year-old will hope to become just the second player to score home and away goals against an opponent before turning 18 in a single Premier League campaign, along with Wayne Rooney (vs Arsenal in 2002-03).
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Head-to-Head
Forest have lost seven of their last eight Premier League games against Arsenal, with the exception being a 1-0 home win in May 2023.
Nuno’s side were downed 3-0 in the reverse fixture this campaign as Saka, Thomas Partey and Nwaneri scored at the Emirates back in November.
Eddie Nketiah, now of Crystal Palace, and Saka scored before Taiwo Awoniyi‘s late goal as Arsenal won this exact fixture 2-1 last season, but they haven’t won consecutive away league games against Forest since a four-game run between 1987 and 1990.
Forest boss Nuno has lost each of his last three Premier League meetings with Arsenal (one with Tottenham, both with Forest), and could suffer 4+ consecutive league defeats for just a third time after losing to Benfica (4 from 2012 to 2014) and Liverpool (7 from 2018 to 2024).
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction
The Opta supercomputer leant significantly towards an away win – Arsenal triumphed in 47.9% of 10,000 pre-match simulations.
Forest claimed a rare win over Arteta’s side in 26.4%, while the draw was ranked at 25.7%.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off on Wednesday night, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction Opta Analyst.
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