ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Yen surges higher ...Middle East

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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Yen surges higher
Federal Reserve speakers Thursday include Kugler, Goolsbee, Musalem, BarrBank of Japan Expected to Raise Rates to 0.75% in Q3, Reuters Poll ShowsBank of Japan Governor Ueda said did not discuss long-term rates with ishbaFed's Jefferson says Fed is in "watch and wait" mode about state of government policyMorgan Stanley Turns More Optimistic on China Equities, Sees Structural Shift in MarketMore on Trump's goal to abolish the IRS - source is US Commerce Secretary Howard LutnickBank of Japan Governor Ueda is meeting with Japan PM IshibaAUD traders note: Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock speaking on Friday local timeTrump says a new trade deal with China is possibleTrump speaking - repeating himselfRBA Dep Gov Hauser: RBA policy is still restrictiveRBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser is speaking now - live linkBarclays expects BoJ to raise rates at a six-monthly pace, but risk is front loadingTariff talk driving bids back into the USD (USD/JPY excepted!)US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says Trump's goal is to abolish the Internal Revenue ServicePBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1712 (vs. estimate at 7.2856)PBOC sets one and five year loan prime rates unchangedFed's Goolsbee: Inflation has fallen but it is still too highUS poised to reduce its diplomatic mission in China by up to 10%AUD marked higher after another very strong employment report from AustraliaAustralia January 2025 unemployment rate 4.1% (vs. 4.1% expected)PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2856 – Reuters estimateUSD/JPY falling away again. Meanwhile 10-year JGB yield hits highest since November 2009Trump repeats he'll be announcing tariffs on cars, semiconductors, pharmaJapan Trade Minister to go to US, to seek exemptions from tariffs on steel and automobilesTrump says will fill up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve fastTrump plans a cash splash with DOGE savingsRBNZ Governor Orr rules out further 50bp rate cuts (unless there is an economic shock)Fed's Jefferson says the Bank can take its time to consider its next monetary policy moveEU ready to negotiate on car tariffs with Trump, trade commissioner saysMore from ECB's Cipollone - spoke on Wednesday - video interviewOil - private survey of inventory shows a larger headline crude oil build than expectedTrade ideas thread - Thursday, 20 February, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideasMajor stock indices close higher. S&P at record levelsForexlive Americas FX news wrap: Trump calls Zelensky a dictator

USD/JPY tracked more or less steadily lower during the session. Its down more than a big figure on the session to lows just under 150.30 as I am writing.

There was no fresh yen-related news or data of note. We did have news that Japan's Trade Minister, Yoji Muto, is planning a trip to the United States in March to request that the Trump administration exempt Japan from upcoming tariffs on steel and automobiles. Which hardly seems surprising.

    While USD/JPY was dropping away other FX ticked a little higher against the USD also. That was until we had remarks from new US Commerce Secretary Lutnick saying Trump’s goal is to abolish the internal revenue service:

    "Think about it, Donald Trump announces the External Revenue Service, and his goal is very simple ... his goal is to abolish the Internal Revenue Service and let all the outsiders pay".

    ‘Outsiders pay’ is Lutnick referring to Trump’s "External Revenue Service" role to oversee tariffs and other potential foreign revenue. Lutnick was speaking in a Fox interview.

    The comments brought out US dollar buyers, sending EUR, AUD, NZD, GBP, CAD falling against the big dollar (USD/JPY tracked sideways for a few minutes while all this was going on, before resuming its fall). Non-US FX has recovered, with AUD and NZD pushing to new session highs since.

    From Australia we had the January employment report, another very strong one, with jobs added coming in more than double the median forecast. While the unemployment rate notched higher by 0.1 ppt labour force participation hit its highest ever recorded, as did the number of jobs.

    Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser spoke in an interview with Bloomberg TV. While most of comments were erring toward the ‘data dependence’ view on forward guidance and that inflation is still a challenge, he did say, which I thought was very instructive, that the Bank’s modelling prior to Tuesday’s rate cut was that inflation should decline even if rates were held steady. A wee more dovish, or at least less hawkish, than I thought he would be.

    In other central bank news:

    Vice Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Jefferson spoke, said the Fed can take its time when weighing the next monetary policy move;Bank of Japan Governor Ueda met with Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba – the two meet regularly;The People’s Bank of China lefts its 1- and 5-year Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged again, at 3.1% and 3.6% respectively.

    We heard from Trump a few times during the session, including he is considering

    giving 20% of savings from DOGE cuts as payouts to Americansanother 20% of savings could go toward paying down the federal debt

    and

    he will fill up the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) 'fast'

    and

    he’ll be announcing tariffs on cars, and semiconductors, and chips, and pharmaceuticals, drugs and pharmaceuticals, and lumber, probably, and some other things over the next month, or sooner

    (On this last point, Trump said all this yesterday)

    This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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