Iowa State vs. UCF Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks

The No. 3 Iowa State Cyclones (15-2, 5-1 Big 12) host the UCF Knights (12-5, 3-3 Big 12) after winning eight home games in a row. The Cyclones are double-digit favorites by 15.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 21, 2025. The matchup has an over/under of 152.

Iowa State vs. UCF Odds

Iowa State odds to win: -1587 UCF odds to win: +900 Spread: Iowa State (-15.5) Total: 152

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025 Time: 8:00 PM ET TV: ESPN+ Where: Ames, Iowa Venue: James H. Hilton Coliseum

Who Will Win Iowa State vs. UCF?

Iowa State and UCF Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 15.5-point favorites this season, Iowa State is 3-4 against the spread.

UCF is 1-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least a 15.5-point underdog.

These two teams average 162.7 points per game combined, 10.7 more than the over/under of 152.

Iowa State and UCF have seen their opponents average a combined 9.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 152 set for this game.

The average point total for Iowa State’s games this season is 3.0 fewer points than the total of 152 in this matchup.

Knights games this year have averaged an over/under of 156.4 points, 4.4 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, the Cyclones have compiled an 11-6-0 record against the spread.

The Knights are 9-8-0 against the spread this year.

Iowa State Stats & Insights

Iowa State is outscoring opponents by 18.6 points per game with a +315 scoring differential overall. It puts up 83.8 points per game (21st in college basketball) and allows 65.2 per outing (35th in college basketball).

Iowa State averages 34.4 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball) while conceding 27.9 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.5 boards per game.

The Cyclones connect on 7.1 three-pointers per game (244th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.4 on average.

Iowa State ranks 20th in college basketball with 105.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 17th in college basketball defensively with 82.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Cyclones are scoring 84.5 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, they are averaging 77.5 points per contest.

UCF Stats & Insights

UCF is outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game, with a +26 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.9 points per game (82nd in college basketball) and gives up 77.4 per outing (312th in college basketball).

The 32.8 rebounds per game UCF accumulates rank 163rd in the nation. Their opponents collect 33.5.

UCF makes 8.5 three-pointers per game (111th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.0 on average.

UCF averages 94.0 points per 100 possessions (220th in college basketball), while giving up 92.2 points per 100 possessions (193rd in college basketball).

Iowa State Key Players to Watch

Curtis Jones leads the Cyclones in scoring, tallying 17.8 points per game to go with 4.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists.

Iowa State’s leading rebounder is Joshua Jefferson averaging 8.3 boards per game and its best passer is Keshon Gilbert, averaging 4.7 assists per game.

Jones makes more threes per game than any other member of the Cyclones, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.

Tamin Lipsey and Dishon Jackson lead Iowa State on the defensive end, with Lipsey leading the team in steals averaging 2.4 per game and Jackson in blocks averaging 1.1 per contest.

UCF Key Players to Watch

The Knights’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Keyshawn Hall with 16.9 points and 6.8 rebounds per game.

UCF’s assist leader is Darius Johnson with 4.0 per game. Johnson also averages 14.8 points per game and grabs 3.6 rebounds per game.

Johnson is consistent from three-point range and leads the Knights with 2.5 made threes per game.

Johnson (2.6 steals per game) is the steal leader for UCF while Moustapha Thiam (2.5 blocks per game) is the block leader.