Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Toronto Raptors (8-31) are 4.5-point underdogs as they look to break a five-game losing streak when they host the Golden State Warriors (19-19) on Monday, January 13, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on NBCS-BA and TSN. The matchup’s point total is set at 225.5.

Warriors vs. Raptors Odds

Warriors odds to win: -200 Raptors odds to win: +168 Spread: Warriors (-4.5) Total: 225.5

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Game Time and Information

When: Monday, January 13, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario TV: NBCS-BA and TSN

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Raptors?

Warriors and Raptors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 5-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.

The Raptors are 15-13-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 3.0 fewer points per game (222.5) than this game’s total of 225.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 more points per game, 230, than this game’s over/under of 225.5 points.

The average point total for Warriors games this year is 0.3 fewer points than the over/under of 225.5 in this matchup.

The average total in Toronto’s games this year is 2.8 more points than the point total of 225.5 in this outing.

Golden State’s ATS record is 18-19-1 this season.

So far this season, the Raptors have compiled a 19-18-2 record against the spread.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors average 111.3 points per game (17th in the league) while allowing 110.8 per outing (ninth in the NBA). They have a +17 scoring differential overall.

The Warriors rank third in the league at 46.4 rebounds per game. That’s 1.1 more than the 45.3 their opponents average.

Golden State knocks down 15 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) at a 36.3% rate (15th in the NBA), compared to the 13.2 per game its opponents make at a 35% rate.

The Warriors rank 20th in the league by averaging 108.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are eighth in the NBA, allowing 107.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Warriors’ offense has been much better when playing at home (111.6 PPG) compared to road games (110.9 PPG). Meanwhile, their defense has been worse at home (111.3 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (110.3 PPG allowed).

Raptors Stats & Insights

The Raptors are being outscored by eight points per game, with a -315 scoring differential overall. They put up 111.2 points per game (19th in NBA), and give up 119.2 per contest (27th in league).

The 43.9 rebounds per game Toronto accumulates rank 16th in the league. Their opponents grab 43.7.

The Raptors knock down 11.5 three-pointers per game (29th in the league) at a 34.7% rate (21st in NBA), compared to the 14.3 per contest their opponents make, shooting 37.1% from deep.

The Raptors put up 107.5 points per 100 possessions (24th in league), while allowing 115.7 points per 100 possessions (28th in NBA).

Toronto averages 113 points per game at home, and 109.3 away.

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Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors active scoring leader is Stephen Curry, who averages 22.6 per contest to go with 5.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists.

Trayce Jackson-Davis adds 8.8 points, 2.2 assists and 6.1 rebounds per contest. Dennis Schroder puts up 15.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game.

The Warriors get 4.4 three-pointers per game out of Curry.

Schroder picks pockets to the tune of one steal per game, and Draymond Green records 1.2 rejections per contest.

Raptors Key Players to Watch

The Raptors go-to guy, RJ Barrett, leads active Raptors players in both scoring (22.7 points per game) and assists (5.9 assists per game).

This season, Jakob Poeltl has a statline that includes 14.9 points, 2.7 assists and 10.5 rebounds per game.

Gradey Dick makes 2.4 treys per game.

The Raptors’ defensive efforts get a lift from Poeltl (1.3 steals and 1.2 blocks per game).