The Yays and Nays: NFL Week 16 Fantasy Football Start, Sit, Projections and Rankings ...Middle East

In our Week 16 fantasy football start and sit, we let the data give another perspective that likely varies from the expert consensus.

Fantasy playoffs are either starting for your league this week or are already underway. Which makes this a good time to look at the 2024 season as a whole. Without further ado, here are our 2024 fantasy superlatives.

If you’re here for this week’s Yays and Nays, you won’t hurt anyone’s feelings by jumping down the page.

Fantasy Most Valuable Player: New Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara

Runner-up: Washington Commanders WR Terry McLaurin

This could have gone a myriad of ways, but ultimately it was hard to overlook Alvin Kamara, who enters Week 16 as the second-best running back in PPR formats. His average draft position of RB17 reflected the industry-wide consensus that he was mostly past his golden days, making him an absolute steal for those who gladly let Kamara fall to them in drafts. That’s a key consideration when deciding on the most valuable player rather than just selecting a positional fantasy points leader.

Terry McLaurin entered this year with the unofficial title of the “most productive wide receiver who’d never played with a good quarterback.” He’s on pace to break 1,000 yards (he’s only 31 short) for the fifth straight season, but with Jayden Daniels (more on him later) at the helm, he’s already shattered his career-high in touchdowns and as such, enters Week 16 as WR5. That is a tremendous return on investment for a player whose ADP was WR31.

After Raheem Mostert won this award last year with Keenan Allen as the runner-up, maybe drafting older players isn’t such a bad strategy.

Fantasy Offensive Player of the Year: Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase

Runner-up: Philadelphia Eagles RB Saquon Barkley

Much like the real award, this just goes to the best non-QB offensive player who had the best season. There’s a very good chance that these two players finish as the top two players for the OPOY award at the conclusion of the season, so it makes perfect sense that they’d also finish first and second in our fantasy awards.

Ja’Marr Chase and Saquon Barkley are the top players at their positions, with Chase almost certainly going to win the receiving triple crown and Barkley threatening 2,000 rushing yards. It was hard to split hairs between these two, but Chase currently has more PPR points, and we’ll give the edge to the player who since Week 10 – during the home stretch of fantasy regular seasons – scored the second most fantasy points of any player, behind only Josh Allen.

Fantasy Defensive Player of the Year: Minnesota Vikings LB Andrew Van Ginkel

Runner-up: Green Bay Packers S Xavier McKinney

We wrote about Andrew Van Ginkel earlier this season, so it should come as little surprise that he finishes the year atop this category. He is inside the top 10 in the NFL in sacks and tackles for a loss and remains the only player with multiple interceptions returned for touchdowns. He is the playmaker on a Vikings defense that is the second-best fantasy defense.

The Packers are fifth among defenses and Xavier McKinney, in his first year in this Packers defense, is the ringleader of the group. His seven interceptions are tied for first in the NFL and are half of the 14 total interceptions that the Packers defense has come away with this season, a mark that is tied for fourth in the NFL.

Fantasy Coach of the Year: Wide receiver coaches from Ohio State and LSU

Runners-up: Dan Campbell and Ben Johnson, Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator Detroit Lions

In case you’ve missed what’s happening at the top of the wide receiver charts this season, just know that the best players mostly came from either Ohio State or LSU. There must be something in the water at those two schools because the WR1 (Chase), WR3 (Justin Jefferson), WR7 (Brian Thomas Jr.) and WR10 (Malik Nabers) all went to LSU, while WR5 (McLaurin), WR6 (Jaxon Smith-Njigba) and WR8 (Garrett Wilson) went to Ohio State.

Among NFL coaches, no one is more popular among fantasy managers than Dan Campbell and the Lions coaching staff. They have a fantasy friendly offense that spreads the ball to everyone while it remains efficient enough that most are more than viable weekly options. Oh, and they’re extremely aggressive on fourth downs.

Fantasy Rookie of the Year: Las Vegas Raiders TE Brock Bowers

Runner-up: Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels

There are a lot of good options this year at the rookie position, but only one of them is atop their entire position in total fantasy points. Brock Bowers is having a historic year, highlighted by having the fourth most receptions of any player in the NFL. Bowers, who entered the year with an ADP of TE11, is likely on a lot of playoff teams.

Choosing the runner up was nearly impossible. Between Nabers and Thomas Jr., there were two deserving rookie wide receivers. But ultimately, it was impossible to not choose their college quarterback, Jayden Daniels. Daniels has nine games of at least 20 points this season, third among quarterbacks behind only Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. He is QB6 on the season, and one of only eight players to have scored at least 290 points.

Fantasy Comeback Player of the Year: Minnesota Vikings QB Sam Darnold

Runner-up: Cleveland Browns WR Jerry Jeudy

Sam Darnold played in 10 games last season for the San Francisco 49ers. He finished with negative fantasy points in seven of them, because he often came in for only one or two snaps to kneel at the end of the game. Only a meaningless Week 18 game got him solidly in the positive, as he finished 2023 as QB55. Fast forward to this year as Darnold is QB8, ahead of players like Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, Justin Herbert and C.J. Stroud.

Jerry Jeudy wasn’t much better last season, finishing as the WR50 in 2023. There are five receivers already over 1,000 yards this season. Arguably the four best receivers in football (Chase, Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, Amon-Ra St. Brown) and Jeudy. In fact, a lot of his production has come recently. Jameis Winston took over the starting job for the Browns in Week 8. Jeudy is WR5 in that time. Along with Darnold, he came from out of nowhere to be a top-10 player at his position.

Fantasy Offensive Team of the Year: Cincinnati Bengals

Runner-up: Detroit Lions

Joe Burrow is QB3. Chase Brown is RB9. Ja’Marr Chase, as we already mentioned, is WR1. Tee Higgins has missed a few games to injury but is WR10 in PPR points per game. This is a dynamite offense, one in which you can confidently start four different players. Burrow hasn’t scored fewer than 18.8 fantasy points since Week 8. Neither has Brown. Chase has only scored fewer than 17.5 fantasy points twice since Week 3. This is a team that scores a lot of fantasy points, and hardly ever lets you down.

The Lions won this category last year. They finish runner-up this year only because of the drop off from tight end Sam LaPorta, but they once again lead the league in guys worth starting in your lineups – get better soon, David Montgomery!

Fantasy Defensive Team of the Year: Cincinnati Bengals

Runner-up: Carolina Panthers

Well, here in fantasyland, we don’t like good defenses. We like defenses that allow offenses to march up and down the field. So, for as good as the Bengals offense has been, the Bengals defense has been similarly as good for its opponents. They allow the second most points in the NFL and are generally abysmal in most every category, including allowing the fourth most yards per game and having the second fewest sacks.

The Panthers have allowed the most points, they allow the second most yards and most rushing yards per game. They’re worse than the Bengals, but they were expected to be bad. The Bengals were expected to compete for a playoff spot, so they get the nod.

First Team All Pro Fantasy Team:

An absolutely brutal choice at QB between Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. You absolutely cannot go wrong with either, but because of his superhuman play down the stretch of fantasy regular seasons – Allen averaged more than 40 points per game over the last three weeks – we’ll give the edge to Allen.

Joe Mixon in the No. 2 running back slot might be kind of surprising, but he enters Week 16 second among all running backs in PPR points per game, on the back of scoring at least 20 points in more than half of his games. He gets the nod over Derrick Henry, who hasn’t scored a touchdown in over a month. The two superstar second-year running backs Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs also warranted heavy consideration, but Mixon has more games with 26 PPR points (four) than the two youngsters combined (three).

George Kittle over Bowers came down almost entirely to the rookie scoring fewer than 8.5 points in weeks 12, 14 and 15. There was no debate for any of the wide receiver spots or Boswell, who as we highlighted in our Thanksgiving article has been by far the NFL’s best kicker this season.

There hasn’t been a dominant fantasy defense this year, so the Denver Broncos by default as fantasy’s top scoring unit, on the backs of three touchdowns in their last two games, get the final spot.

And finally, it was so hard to decide between the two game wreckers at the quarterback position that we decided to cop out and create a Super Flex team. Jackson is first among quarterbacks in rushing yards, and second in passing touchdowns. He is a two-time MVP playing the best he’s ever played.

The Yays: Week 16 Fantasy Players Projected to Overperform Expert Consensus

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