We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at the King Power Stadium with our Leicester City vs Liverpool prediction and preview. Could the Reds clinch the title?
Leicester City vs Liverpool Stats: The Key Insights
Liverpool have a 73.2% chance of victory, according to the Opta supercomputer. The Reds will secure the Premier League title with a win, if Arsenal lose to Ipswich Town earlier on Sunday. Leicester, who will be relegated if they lose, are looking to avoid becoming the first side in top-flight history to go nine consecutive home games without scoring a goal.The inevitable outcome of Leicester City heading back to the Championship could soon be upon us. The Foxes need to win to avoid being relegated on Matchday 33, so it is not the ideal time to have to face runaway Premier League leaders Liverpool at the King Power Stadium.
While Leicester are doomed for the second tier, the Reds are closing in on their 20th English top-flight crown. Indeed, should Arsenal lose at Ipswich Town earlier on Sunday, Arne Slot’s team will win the title with a victory here.
It would be just the sixth time a side has won the top-flight title with five games to spare, with Liverpool in 2019-20 the last occasion that happened when they won it with seven games to go, which is a competition record.
And it’s difficult to see Leicester upsetting the odds here.
Ruud van Nistelrooy’s side have lost their last eight home Premier League games without scoring a single goal, a record run in English top-flight history. Only six teams have ever lost nine home games in a row in the top-flight, most recently Southampton between November and March this season.
Leicester did, at least, end their overall eight-game losing streak and scoreless run in the Premier League when they drew 2-2 at Brighton & Hove Albion last time out. That marked the first time the Foxes had scored, or avoided defeat, in the top flight since January 26, when they beat Tottenham Hotspur 2-1.
Leicester are looking to avoid becoming the first side in top-flight history to go nine consecutive home games without scoring a goal. In English Football League history across all divisions, only Mansfield Town (nine in the third tier between August and December 1971) and Wolves (10 in the second tier between December 1984 and April 1985) have achieved this unwanted feat.
Could there be an Easter treat for Leicester, though?
Well, the omens are not great. Leicester have lost both of their league games played on Easter Sunday, going down 3-0 at West Ham in the second tier in 1993, and 2-1 at Newcastle in the Premier League in 2022.
On the other hand, Liverpool have lost just one of their 10 league games played on Easter Sunday (W7 D2), when they were beaten 3-0 at Manchester United in 2008.
They will be the second team (after Arsenal) to play on Easter Sunday in three consecutive years, drawing 2-2 with the Gunners in 2023 and beating Brighton 2-1 last year.
Mohamed Salah has, of course, been the driving force behind Liverpool’s spectacular league campaign.
Salah has scored in all five of Liverpool’s Premier League games against the promoted sides this season (seven goals). No player in the competition’s history has scored in six separate matches against promoted clubs in a single campaign.
The Egyptian has been involved in 45 Premier League goals this season (27 goals, 18 assists), a record for a 38-game campaign. The all-time record in the competition is 47, achieved by Andrew Cole in 1993-94 and Alan Shearer in 1994-95 (both 34 goals, 13 assists), which came in 42-game seasons.
If Salah scores on Sunday, he will also set the single-season record for away goals. He currently shares the record of 16 with Kevin Phillips (1999-2000) and Harry Kane (2022-23). Another away assist, and Salah will also stand alone as having the most Premier League assists on the road in a campaign, overtaking Cesc Fabregas’ 11 from 2014-15.
Liverpool are celebrating the news that captain Virgil van Dijk has followed Salah in committing the next two years to the Merseyside club.
While there is still no word on the future of Trent Alexander-Arnold, Slot did say at a press conference on Friday that his vice-captain is back in training following injury and could be in the squad for the trip to Leicester, though he is not yet fit to start.
Leicester City vs Liverpool Head-to-Head
Liverpool have won their last four Premier League games against Leicester, while they have only failed to score in one of their last 15 against the Foxes in the league, a 1-0 loss in December 2021.
Leicester have won just two of their last 13 Premier League games against Liverpool (D1 L10), with both these wins coming consecutively at home in 2021 (3-1 in February, 1-0 in December).
Liverpool came from behind to win the reverse fixture 3-1 in December. Jordan Ayew put the Foxes in front at Anfield, only for Cody Gakpo, Curtis Jones and Salah to turn things around for the hosts.
Leicester City vs Liverpool Prediction
Leicester need a win to stave off relegation for another week, but only came out as victors in 10.9% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 data-led simulations. The chance of a draw is 15.9%.
Liverpool, on the other hand, have a whopping 73.2% win probability. Whether it will be enough to win them the title this weekend depends on what happens at Portman Road beforehand, but if not, they can clinch it at Anfield a week later when they host Tottenham Hotspur.
Leicester City vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Leicester City vs Liverpool Prediction Opta Analyst.
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