Best MLB prop bets today [June 27, 2025] ...Middle East

The New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates kick off Friday night’s slate of games with a divisional matchup.

After conceding their lead for first in the NL East division standings to the Philadelphia Phillies, the New York Mets must quickly round back into form should they want to avoid falling out of contention.

Fortunately for the Mets, they have a great opportunity to get back up off the mat as they are set to face off against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates and their severely underwhelming offense.

With fifteen games taking place on Friday night, there are plenty of prop bets to wager on which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40pm, EST)

David Peterson Under 2.5 Earned Runs: (-180) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After struggling to play at a competitive level last season, the Pittsburgh Pirates struggles on offense have carried over into this year as their lineup currently ranks near the bottom of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Their aggression at the plate and lack of command hurts their chances of making contact as the Pirates also rank top-5 in Strikeout Rate.

In a divisional matchup against the New York Mets, the Pirates struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against David Peterson who is currently averaging an ERA of 2.98 and a FIP of 3.37. Especially with his back end further reducing the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Mets defense ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

Mitch Keller Under 4.5 Strikeouts: (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While Peterson has thrived, Mitch Keller has underwhelmed as the Pirates pitcher is averaging an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.223. His struggles on the mound stems from his inability to create Whiffs as Keller is also averaging less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. With the Mets offense excelling at making contact, expect Keller to be held under the total on his Strikeout prop.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (7:05pm, EST)

Ryan Pepiot Over 17.5 Outs: (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Ryan Pepiot has played a major role in Tampa Bay’s recent surge up the AL East division standings as the Rays pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.099. Even though his FIP of 4.06 indicates negative regression is looming large, his back end helps mask his struggles on the mound as the Rays defense ranks second overall in Defensive Efficiency.

In a matchup against Baltimore, expect Pepiot to continue to thrive as he faces off against an Orioles offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Their struggles with making contact hurt their chances of getting into scoring position, increasing the likelihood that Pepiot goes the full length of his start.

Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Hit: (+100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With Pepiot averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched, Cedric Mullins may be in for a long night as the Orioles batter has struggled with making contact this season. As of writing, Mullins is averaging less than one Hit per game, a .214 Batting Average, and a .717 OPS. With the Ray’s defense also excelling in coverage as previously mentioned, expect Mullins to be held without a Hit on Friday night.

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers (8:05pm, EST)

No Runs to be Scored in the First Inning: (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Speaking of negative regression, the Seattle Mariners will struggle to sustain their high marks on offense as they are set to face off against Nathan Eovaldi who excels at avoiding contact. In his 12 starts, Eovaldi is averaging less than four Hits Allowed per game, a 1.56 ERA, and a 0.808 WHIP.

On the other side of the field, Logan Gilbert draws a much more favorable assignment as he faces off against a Texas Rangers offense who ranks well below league average in most key metrics. With Gilbert keeping opposing runners off the bases at a consistent rate as his WHIP of 0.893 indicates, expect the Mariners pitcher to keep a clean sheet and hold the Rangers scoreless in the first inning.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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