NIGEL Farage is set to be the big winner if an election were held – with Sir Keir Starmer facing a crushing defeat and being ousted from Downing Street, a new poll shows.
The Prime Minister would pick up just 178 seats in a national poll if it were held today – and lose several key allies.
Nigel Farage’s Reform UK would be the main beneficiaries of Sir Keir’s troubles as they would be the biggest party on 271 seats.
Reform would be the biggest party in the areas such as the East Midlands, East of England, North East and Wales.
The poll comes after a nightmare first year for Labour who have been forced into a major u-turn over the winter fuel allowance and are on the verge of watering down a welfare package that would save £5 billion.
The YouGov poll shows that Parliament would become gridlocked as no one party would have an overall majority.
The Conservatives would be down to just 46 seats as Kemi Badenoch comes under increasing pressure from her own party.
She can’t be formally challenged until November but party insiders are becoming alarmed about the lack of progress.
The Lib Dems would be up slightly on 81 seats, the poll shows.
Both Reform and Labour would then be scrambling to find partners to properly up their government.
It could pave the way for a full-blown coalition or even allow parties to prop up the government on an issue-by-issue basis.
The survey also shows that senior Cabinet Ministers would be losing their seats if an election were held today.
Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper and Education Secretary Bridget Philipson would lose their Commons’ seat.
Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds and Defence Secretary John Healey would also be heading for the exit door.
The major poll interviewed 11,500 about their voting intentions between the end of May and mid-June.
Trade Minister Douglas Alexander told Sky News that the poll was just a “snapshot of public opinion”.
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