Who will win? In some Jackson council races, not even seasoned politicos know, but one thing is for sure: It all comes down to who votes.
Conventional wisdom holds that in Jackson, race, class and political party are linked. The city’s population is roughly 82% Black and 14% white, with Black Jacksonians historically backing Democrats. Other races make up the remaining 4%.
In the following interactive, you can test your hypothesis of where each candidate’s votes will come from and view the election results based on their support.
To use the tool, type in the portion of the total turnout you think will be made up by Black and white voters in each race and the portion of the Black and white vote you think each candidate will receive to make a result projection. Toggle between elections at the top of this interactive to make projections in council races for Ward 1 and Ward 7.
Some caveats before you get started: The following interactive only deals with turnout by Black and white Jacksonians. We don’t have data to quantify the race of Jackson’s registered voters or the rate of turnout among Black and white voters in past elections.
Considering that turnout is linked with socioeconomic status and has historically been higher in Ward 1 — Jackson’s whitest and wealthiest ward — compared to the rest of the city, you might make the assumption that whites will make up a larger portion of the city’s turnout than their population rate. But how much will that affect the outcome?
With Black residents outnumbering white residents more than 5-t0-1 citywide, higher turnout among affluent whites does not necessarily translate to electoral success for their candidate. But in Wards 1 and 7, where Black residents only slightly outnumber white, voting along racial lines takes center stage.
Mayor Ward 1 Ward 7Your projection totals for the portion of the vote each candidate receives must add up to 100%. Citywide, experts say Black voters could make up between 65-85% of the turnout.
Mayor’s race: Jorhn Horhn (D), Kenneth Gee (R), Rodney DePriest (I), Zach Servis (I), Lillie Stewart-Robinson (I) and Kim Wade* (I)
Who votes?Your projectionsPortion of the vote cast by each race{{sb+sw == 1}}Black{{sb=85}}White{{sw=15}}Portion of the Black vote each candidate receives{{b1+b2+b3+b4+b5+b6 == 1}}Horhn {{b1=0}}Gee{{b2=0}}DePriest {{b3=0}}Servis{{b4=0}}Stewart-Robinson{{b5=0}}Wade*{{b6=0}}Portion of the white vote each candidate receives{{w1+w2+w3+w4+w5+w6 == 1}}Horhn{{w1=0}}Gee{{w2=0}}DePriest{{w3=0}}Servis{{w4=0}}Stewart-Robinson{{w5=0}}Wade*{{w6=0}}Your projected resultsHorhn{{sb*b1 + sw*w1}}Gee{{sb*b2 + sw*w2}}DePriest{{sb*b3 + sw*w3}}Servis{{sb*b4 + sw*w4}}Stewart-Robinson{{sb*b5 + sw*w5}}Wade*{{sb*b6 + sw*w6}}Your projection totals for the portion of the vote each candidate receives must add up to 100%. In Ward 1, experts say Black voters could make up between 40-60% of the turnout.
Ward 1 council race: Jasmine Barnes (D), Ashby Foote (I), Grace Greene (I)
Base AssumptionsYou decidePortion of the vote cast by each race{{sb+sw == 1}}Black{{sb=53}}White{{sw=47}}Portion of the Black vote each candidate receives{{b1+b2+b3 == 1}}Barnes{{b1=0}}Foote{{b2=0}}Greene{{b3=0}}Portion of the white vote each candidate receives{{w1+w2+w3 == 1}}Barnes{{w1=0}}Foote{{w2=0}}Greene{{w3=0}}FinalBarnes{{sb*b1 + sw*w1}}Foote{{sb*b2 + sw*w2}}Greene{{sb*b3 + sw*w3}}Your projection totals for the portion of the vote each candidate receives must add up to 100%. In Ward 7, experts say Black voters could make up between 40-60% of the turnout.
Ward 7 council race: Kevin Parkinson (D), Taylor Turcotte (R), Ron Aldridge (I)
Base AssumptionsYou decidePortion of the vote cast by each race{{sb+sw == 1}}Black{{sb=54}}White{{sw=46}}Portion of the Black vote each candidate receives{{b1+b2+b3 == 1}}Parkinson{{b1=0}}Turcotte{{b2=0}}Aldridge{{b3=0}}Portion of the white vote each candidate receives{{w1+w2+w3 == 1}}Parkinson{{w1=0}}Turcotte{{w2=0}}Aldridge{{w3=0}}FinalParkinson{{sb*b1 + sw*w1}}Turcotte{{sb*b2 + sw*w2}}Aldridge{{sb*b3 + sw*w3}} Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Use our tool to project voting results in contested Jackson elections )
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