The upcoming match between Alavés and Valencia on May 14, 2025, presents an intriguing contest in La Liga. Predictions indicate a potential low-scoring affair, with expectations set at under 2.5 goals . Valencia enters the match as favorites due to their recent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five games with three wins and two draws. Their defense has been notably resilient, conceding only three goals during this stretch while scoring eight . However, Alavés' home advantage cannot be overlooked and may serve as a critical factor influencing the outcome.
In the first round, the teams played to a draw at Mestalla (2-2). Notably, Valencia's last victory at Mendizorrotza was recorded in the 2017/18 season (2-1). It's worth highlighting that in this decade, the rivals have clashed six times, with Alaves emerging victorious on three occasions, while the "Bats" have managed just one win.This paints a rather bleak picture for Valencia heading into their next encounter at Mendizorrotza.
The historical data clearly favors Alaves, particularly on their home turf. The "Bats" will need to significantly buck the trend and overcome a recent history of underperformance against their Basque rivals if they hope to secure a positive result. They'll need to analyse what went wrong in those previous encounters and find a tactical approach that can neutralize Alaves' strengths, especially considering their struggles to take all three points at Mendizorrotza in recent years.
Alaves possible starting lineup: Sivera; Tenaglia, Garces, Mourino, Sanchez; Blanco, Guevara; Vicente, Guridi, Alena; Kike
Valencia possible starting lineup: Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Tarrega, Mosquera, Gaya; Rioja, Barrenechea, Pepelu, Lopez; Mir, Duro
Alaves' ambition to become more dynamic after concerns about stagnation under Luis Garcia Plaza has not materialized, with their performance and entertainment value unchanged. Facing a Valencia side chasing a top-eight finish, who combine grit with attacking flair, an away win seems probable in this encounter.Alaves' predictability is a significant issue; their opponents know exactly what to expect, neutering any potential for surprise. While Valencia's consistency can be questioned, their recent form suggests a team with a clear objective and the capabilities to achieve it. The blend of experienced campaigners and youthful exuberance provides a potent mix, making them difficult to contain. Alaves, conversely, seem stuck in a rut, lacking the tactical innovation or individual brilliance to unlock stubborn defenses. Expect Valencia to exploit this lack of dynamism, dictating the tempo and ultimately securing a victory that further strengthens their European aspirations.
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