We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at Anfield with our Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction and preview. Will the Reds secure the league title?
Liverpool vs Tottenham Stats: The Key Insights
Liverpool need just a point to win the Premier League title. The Opta supercomputer gives them an 87.7% chance of securing it on Sunday, and a 71.8% likelihood of sealing it in style with a win over Tottenham Hotspur. Mohamed Salah has scored 15 goals against Spurs in all competitions, only netting more against Manchester United (16) in his European club career. Spurs have won just two of their last 24 Premier League games against Liverpool (D6 L16), with both victories coming at home.The destination of the Premier League title is close to being confirmed. It has been a relative procession for Liverpool, who are 12 points clear at the summit and know just one more point will be enough against Tottenham Hotspur to get the job done following Arsenal’s 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace on Wednesday.
Arne Slot is set to become the first Dutchman to win the Premier League, while he will be just the fifth boss to win the competition in his debut season, after Jose Mourinho (2004-05), Carlo Ancelotti (2009-10), Manuel Pellegrini (2013-14) and Antonio Conte (2016-17).
Only a loss for the hosts will delay the seemingly inevitable, and Liverpool have lost just two league games this season. Their first defeat came at home to Nottingham Forest in September, while their second came at Fulham earlier this month. Even in that most recent loss at Craven Cottage, the Reds could consider themselves somewhat unfortunate – generating 1.5 expected goals to their opponents’ 0.74.
Slot has averaged 2.39 points per game in the league this season. To put that into perspective, only three of his eight full seasons in charge did Jürgen Klopp’s Liverpool average more points per game than Slot’s Reds have so far this term – in 2018-19 (2.55), 2019-20 (2.60) and 2021-22 (2.42).
With five games remaining, Liverpool have already won as many Premier League games this season as they did last term (24), while victory in this game would also see them equal their points tally from last season (82) with four games to go.
They would also become just the seventh team to win the title with four or more matches remaining.
Liverpool have scored at least once in each of their last 29 Premier League games, since a 1-0 loss to Forest at Anfield in September. It is the second-longest scoring streak in a single campaign, after Arsenal, who scored in all 38 games in 2001-02.
While the Reds are surging towards glory, it could hardly have been a more different story for Spurs this term.
Ange Postecoglou bullishly promised to win a trophy this season, and while that could still happen – Spurs are into the semi-finals of the UEFA Europa League – his team sit 16th in the league. They are clear of any relegation danger, but that says more about the lack of quality of the bottom three than it does about Spurs, who only have 37 points from their 33 games so far.
They have lost 18 Premier League games this season, only losing more in 1993-94 and 2003-04 (19 both times). Their worst-ever finish in the competition is 15th, so Spurs are on course to at least match that, if not set a new record low altogether.
Spurs are 42 points behind Liverpool (79) coming into this match. It is the second-most points they have been behind a side they are facing in the Premier League – they were 43 behind Arsenal when they met at White Hart Lane in April 2004, with the Gunners securing the title against them that day.
One hope Spurs may have is Richarlison, who netted in the 2-1 defeat to Nottingham Forest on Monday. The Brazilian has scored in four of his last five Premier League appearances (four goals), though Spurs have still lost all four of those games. Indeed, only Wolves star Matheus Cunha (five) has scored in more defeats than Richarlison this term. The former Everton man has also scored four league goals against the Reds.
At the other end, though, Mohamed Salah has scored 15 goals against Spurs in all competitions, only netting more against Manchester United (16) in his European club career. Eleven of those 15 goals have come in the Premier League, with only Alan Shearer (14) netting more against Spurs in the competition.
The Egyptian remains the Premier League’s top scorer with 27 goals this season, though has gone four league games without scoring, having not previously failed to find the net in more than two consecutive games in 2024-25. Salah will no doubt be keen to end that drought on Sunday as Liverpool aim to seal the Premier League title on their home turf.
Liverpool vs Tottenham Head-to-Head
Spurs have conceded 10 goals against Liverpool this season, losing 6-3 in the Premier League and 4-0 in the EFL Cup semi-final second leg (winning 1-0 in the first leg).
They last conceded more against an opponent in 2013-14 (11 vs Manchester City), while the most they have conceded is 14 (vs Chelsea in 2001-02).
Spurs have won just two of their last 24 Premier League games against Liverpool (D6 L16), with both victories coming at home. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 18 against the Reds in the competition.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 15 home games against Spurs in all competitions (W11 D4), winning the last three while scoring four goals each time.
Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction
The Opta supercomputer makes Liverpool overwhelming favourites, with the Reds handed a 71.8% win probability.
Spurs’ chances are ranked at a meagre 12.3%, while the chance of a draw – which would be enough to see Liverpool win the title – is 15.9%. That therefore means there is an 87.7% chance that the Reds will be celebrating clinching first place on the final whistle on Sunday.
Liverpool vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend a Anfield, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction Opta Analyst.
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