We look ahead to Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg with our Inter vs Bayern Munich prediction and preview. Who will reach the last four?
Inter vs Bayern Munich Stats: The Key Insights
Internazionale lead 2-1 from the first leg, and they are given a 72% chance of reaching the semi-finals by Opta’s supercomputer. Bayern Munich have only progressed from one of their last eight UEFA Champions League knockout-stage ties after losing the first leg. The last six meetings between Internazionale and Bayern in the Champions League have seen both sides win three times each.It is all to play for as Bayern Munich head to San Siro for the second leg of an enthralling UEFA Champions League quarter-final tie against Inter – one that is delicately poised after last week’s first match in Munich.
Inter lead 2-1 on aggregate following goals from Lautaro Martínez and Davide Frattesi, which came either side of an effort from Thomas Müller.
The Serie A leaders – runners-up to Manchester City in 2023 – pulled off something of a smash and grab.
Vincent Kompany’s team had 20 attempts and registered 2.30 expected goals. That is twice as many shots as Inter had, and over double the xG (0.78).
However, Inter applied 573 high-intensity pressures, the most by a team in a Champions League game this season, as they aimed to catch Bayern napping on the ball.
Now, Inter have a lead to hold onto as they look to book their place in the last four. And they are in excellent form at home.
Inter are unbeaten in their last 14 home games in the Champions League (W12 D2). This is now the longest current run in the competition, after they ended Bayern’s 22-game streak at the Allianz Arena in the first leg.
The Nerazzurri have progressed from 21 of their previous 23 knockout-stage ties in the European Cup/Champions League after winning the first leg. One of those two eliminations did come last season, however, losing on penalties against Atlético Madrid in the last 16, after winning 1-0 in the first leg (2-2 on aggregate, lost 3-2 on pens).
Bayern, meanwhile, have only progressed from one of their last eight Champions League knockout-stage ties after losing the first leg, although that did also come in the most recent one (3-1 on aggregate vs Lazio in the last 16 last season).
And underperforming their xG, as they did in the first leg, is nothing new for Bayern this term.
Bayern have the best expected goal difference in the Champions League this season (+19.3 – 32.6 xG for, 13.3 xG against), though their actual goal difference is just +13 (29 scored, 16 conceded). This represents the biggest negative difference of any side to qualify from the league phase (-6.3).
Veteran campaigner Muller, who will be leaving Bayern at the end of the season, got their goal last week.
Should he feature, Müller will equal Lionel Messi (163) for Champions League appearances, leaving him only behind Cristiano Ronaldo (183) and Iker Casillas (177) overall. With his goal in the first leg, the German became the oldest player to score in a knockout-stage game in the competition for Bayern (35 years, 207 days).
Inter’s Benjamin Pavard, meanwhile, knows Bayern well, having spent four years at the club between 2019 and 2023.
The France international could make his 50th Champions League appearance on Wednesday. With 40 wins from his 49 games to date (D5 L4), he already has the most victories by any player within their first 50 matches in the competition’s history.
But there is no doubting who Inter’s dangerman is. Martínez’s opener last week was an exceptional, outside-of-the-boot finish. The Argentine has scored in each of his last four Champions League games, and could become the first Internazionale player to net in five consecutive appearances in the competition.
Only two players have scored more for Inter in a single Champions League campaign than Martinez this season (7): Hernán Crespo in 2002-03 (9) and Samuel Eto’o in 2010-11 (8).
At the opposite end of the pitch, Bayern forward Harry Kane now has 100 goal involvements for the club in all competitions. He has netted 78 goals and provided 22 assists as it stands for the Bundesliga giants.
Inter vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head
Bayern have reason to be positive. They have won all four of their away games against Inter in European competition, including all three in the Champions League without conceding a single goal (2-0 in 2006, 1-0 in 2011 and 2-0 in 2022).
This is Inter’s longest losing streak at home to an opponent across all European competitions.
The last six meetings between Inter and Bayern in the Champions League have seen both sides win three times each, while only one of those six victories has been achieved by the team playing at home (Bayern winning 2-0 at home in November 2022).
Inter vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Opta’s supercomputer ran 10,000 data-led sims, and Bayern came out on top inside 90 minutes in 38.0% of them. Inter, meanwhile, were victors in this leg on 37.1% of the sims.
The Nerazzurri’s overall chances of progressing from the tie are at 72%. Our model hands then a 16.7% probability of winning the trophy, while Bayern’s chances are ranked at just 4.1%.
Inter vs Bayern Munich Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off in Italy on Wednesday night, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
Inter vs Bayern Munich Prediction Opta Analyst.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Inter vs Bayern Munich Prediction )
Also on site :
- Country Star Reveals He Soiled Himself Onstage in Major 'TMI' Moment
- 'Fire Country' Star Stephanie Arcila Goes Inside Gabriela’s Stalker Storyline (Exclusive)
- Red Sox Expected To Activate Liam Hendriks Tomorrow