Knicks vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The New York Knicks (40-20) host the Golden State Warriors (33-28) after winning three straight home games. The Knicks are favored by 4 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 4, 2025. The over/under for the matchup is set at 232.

Knicks vs. Warriors Odds

Knicks odds to win: -184 Warriors odds to win: +154 Spread: Knicks (-4) Total: 232

How to Bet on Knicks vs. Warriors

Game Time and Information

When: Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York TV: TNT, NBCS-BA, and MAX

Who Will Win Knicks vs. Warriors?

Knicks and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Knicks are 20-22-1 against the spread.

The Warriors are 8-6 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this season.

The Knicks and the Warriors combine to average 1.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 232 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.9 fewer points per game (224.1) than this game’s over/under of 232 points.

The average point total in Knicks games this year is 7.2 fewer points than the over/under of 232 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Golden State’s games this year is 6.6 fewer points than the point total of 232 for this outing.

New York has a 28-31-1 record against the spread this season.

The Warriors are 32-28-1 against the spread this year.

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks have a +283 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.7 points per game. They’re putting up 117.6 points per game to rank fifth in the league and are giving up 112.9 per outing to rank 13th in the NBA.

The Knicks win the rebound battle by 1.2 boards on average. They collect 42.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 24th in the league, while their opponents pull down 41.7 per contest.

New York makes 12.7 three-pointers per game (20th in the league), while its opponents have made 13.5 on average.

The Knicks average 116.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (fifth in the league), and give up 112.5 points per 100 possessions (23rd in the NBA).

During the 2024-25 campaign, the Knicks are scoring three more points per home game on average than on the road (119.1 at home, 116.1 on the road), but are conceding 1.3 fewer points per home game compared to road games (112.3 at home, 113.6 on the road).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors’ +118 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.1 points per game (15th in NBA) while giving up 111.2 per contest (ninth in league).

Golden State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. It records 46.1 rebounds per game (third in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.7.

The Warriors knock down 15.3 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) while shooting 35.9% from beyond the arc (15th in NBA). They are making two more threes than their opponents, who drain 13.3 per game at 36%.

The Warriors score 110.9 points per 100 possessions (15th in league), while allowing 109 points per 100 possessions (eighth in NBA).

Golden State averages 112.3 points per game at home, and 113.9 away.

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Jalen Brunson is one of the Knicks’ key players terms of both scoring and assists, recording 26.1 points and distributing 7.4 assists on average.

Karl-Anthony Towns’ averages this season are 24.5 points, 13.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game.

Brunson makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Knicks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Josh Hart averages 1.5 steals per game, while OG Anunoby has 0.9 blocks per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Stephen Curry holds the top spot on the Warriors scoring and assist lists among active players, putting up 24 points and 6.2 assists per game.

Kevon Looney has per-game averages of five points, 1.8 assists and 6.7 rebounds this season.

Curry makes 4.4 treys per game.

Draymond Green is a solid defensive option with 1.3 steals and one block per game.