Shafaq News/ Syria’s economy will take 55 years to return to its pre-warlevel, the United Nations said on Friday, highlighting the long-term economicdevastation of the conflict that began in 2011.
Achim Steiner, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Administrator,stated in a report that “Beyond immediate humanitarian aid, Syria’s recoveryrequires long-term investment in development to build economic and socialstability for its people.”
Steiner emphasized the need to “Restoring productivity for jobs andpoverty relief, revitalizing agriculture for food security, and rebuildinginfrastructure for essential services such as healthcare, education and energyare key to a self-sustaining future, prosperity, and peace.”
According to the report, with Syria’s current annual economic growthrate of about 1.3% between 2018 and 2024, “its GDP will not return to 2010levels until 2080, nearly 55 years from now.”
The conflict has also reversed decades of development, with Syria’sHuman Development Index—measuring life expectancy, education, and livingstandards—falling below its 1990 level, effectively wiping out more than 30years of progress.
The UNDP examined the pace of growth required for Syria’s GDP to returnto its 2010 level and the rate needed to reach where the economy could havebeen without the war.
Under the most “realistic” scenario, merely recovering to the 2010 GDPlevel would require sustained annual growth of 7.6% for a decade—six times thecurrent rate—or 5% annually for 15 years, or 3.7% annually for 20 years, the reportestimated.
A more ambitious scenario, in which Syria’s economy reaches the level itcould have attained without the war, would demand growth of 21.6% per year fora decade, 13.9% per year for 15 years, or 10.3% per year for 20 years.
Abdallah Al-Dardari, UNDP Assistant Administrator and Director of theUNDP Regional Bureau for Arab States, said only a “comprehensive strategy,”including governance reforms and infrastructure rebuilding, could allow Syriato “regain control over its future” and “reduce reliance on external aid.”
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