The Mexico Open at Vidanta Vallarta is upon us, and while the big names will draw plenty of attention, savvy bettors know that long shots can offer incredible value. This year, two players stand out as potential sleeper picks: Chan Kim and Matthias Schmid. Let’s delve into why these two could be worth a wager this weekend.
Chan Kim: A Proven Winner Ready to Rebound
Chan Kim might not be a household name, but his track record speaks for itself. He’s a proven winner on the Japan Golf Tour, showcasing his ability to close out tournaments. While his recent form might not be stellar, that’s precisely what makes him a compelling long-shot pick. A dip in form often precedes a resurgence, and Kim has the talent to contend on any given week.
The Vidanta Vallarta course, with its challenging layout, could suit Kim’s ball-striking abilities. If his putter gets hot, he has the potential to climb the leaderboard quickly. Keep an eye on his performance leading up to the tournament; if he shows signs of returning to form, he’s definitely worth considering.
Fanduel Price: +7500
May 3, 2024; McKinney, Texas, USA; Chan Kim plays his shot from the sixth tee during the second round of THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY SportsMatthias Schmid: The Rising Star with Untapped Potential
Matthias Schmid is a name to watch in the world of golf. This young German professional has shown flashes of brilliance and possesses a game that’s tailor-made for success. While still relatively early in his professional career, Schmid has already demonstrated his potential with strong finishes in various tournaments.
His length off the tee and solid iron play are significant assets, and if he can find consistency with his short game, he could be a surprise contender at the Mexico Open. The lack of pressure that comes with being a long shot could also work in Schmid’s favor, allowing him to play freely and aggressively. He’s a high-risk, high-reward pick, but the potential payoff makes him an intriguing option for those looking for a true sleeper.
DraftKings Price: +9000
Matthias Schmid studies his putt on the 17th green of the Pete Dye Stadium Course during the second round of The American Express at PGA West in La Quinta, Calif., on Friday, Jan. 16, 2025.About the Mexico Open at Vidanta Vallarta
The Mexico Open is a relatively new addition to the PGA Tour schedule, but it has quickly become a popular event. It’s been played for over 80 years and now has become a mainstay of the spring PGA season. You can catch the action on ESPN+.
Vidanta Vallarta is a challenging course that tests players’ accuracy and course management. The course features tight fairways, strategically placed bunkers, and undulating greens, making it crucial for players to be precise with their approach shots. The tropical climate can also be a factor, with heat and humidity potentially playing a role in the tournament’s outcome. This year’s field features a mix of established stars and up-and-coming players, creating an exciting and unpredictable competition.
For more information on the course, including some key stats that the winner will need this week, check out Ron Klos’ preview article on Betsperts Golf.
Why Bet on Sleepers or Long Shots?
Betting on long shots like Kim and Schmid offers the potential for significant returns. While the odds of them winning might be longer, a small wager can yield a substantial payout if they manage to pull off a victory. It’s important to remember that betting on golf, like any form of gambling, involves risk. However, by carefully analyzing the field and identifying potential sleepers, you can increase your chances of success.
Ryan Noonan hit a winner last week with Ludvig Aberg at 25/1. See who he likes this week (free article that includes a couple more sleepers).
Responsible Gambling
Remember to gamble responsibly. Set a budget for your bets and stick to it. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know is struggling with problem gambling, please seek help. Resources are available to provide support and guidance. Here are some helpful resources:
Gamblers Anonymous National Council on Problem GamblingDisclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute gambling advice. Please gamble responsibly. *21+ and Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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