Celtics vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Boston Celtics (37-16) visit the Miami Heat (25-25) after winning five home road in a row. The Celtics are favored by 6 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 10, 2025. The matchup’s point total is set at 220.5.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds

Celtics odds to win: -245 Heat odds to win: +200 Spread: Celtics (-6) Total: 220.5

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat

Game Time and Information

When: Monday, February 10, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida TV: NBCS-BOS and FDSSUN

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?

Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 6 points or more, the Celtics have a 15-28-1 record against the spread.

The Heat have a 3-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 6 points or more this year.

These teams average 228 points per game combined, 7.5 more than the total of 220.5.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 219.3 points per game, 1.2 fewer than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under the Celtics have had set in games this year is 7.5 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Miami this season is 1.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Boston is 22-30-1 against the spread this season.

The Heat are 21-27-2 against the spread this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics average 117.5 points per game (sixth in the league) while allowing 108.7 per contest (fifth in the NBA). They have a +468 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 8.8 points per game.

The Celtics average 44.8 rebounds per game (11th in the league) compared to the 44.3 of their opponents.

Boston hits 17.8 three-pointers per game (first in the league), five more than its opponents (12.8). It is shooting 36.9% from deep (10th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.4%.

The Celtics’ 116.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in the NBA, and the 107.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank sixth in the league.

The Celtics’ offense has been much better in home games (118 PPG) compared to road games (117 PPG). However, their defense has been worse when playing at home (109.8 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (107.6 PPG allowed).

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat put up 110.5 points per game (22nd in league) while allowing 110.6 per contest (seventh in NBA). They have a -9 scoring differential.

The 43.9 rebounds per game Miami accumulates rank 19th in the league, 1.9 fewer than the 45.8 its opponents pull down.

The Heat knock down 14.2 three-pointers per game (seventh-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.7. They shoot 36.5% from deep, and their opponents shoot 35.8%.

The Heat’s 109.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 18th in the NBA, and the 110.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league.

Miami averages 112.9 points per game at home, and 108.5 away.

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 26.8 points, 8.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists from Jayson Tatum.

The Celtics get 3.6 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Tatum averages 1.2 takeaways per game, and Derrick White compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat go-to guy, Tyler Herro, leads active Heat players in both scoring (23.7 points per game) and assists (5.6 assists per game).

Bam Adebayo has per-game averages of 16.4 points, 4.5 assists and 10 rebounds this season.

Herro cashes in on 3.8 treys per game.

The Heat’s defensive efforts get a boost from Adebayo (1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks per game).