Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. This Sunday, the NFC and AFC Championship games will bring the most betting action of the entire season, along with plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props.
This cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls when making selections for the Commanders vs. Eagles and Bills vs. Chiefs.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFC & AFC Title Games
Commanders vs. Eagles Prop Streaks Jan. 26th
1⃣ Jalen Hurts:
Over 29.5 Rush Yards (-114)
Hit in 5/5 recent games.
2⃣ Saquon Barkley:
Over 24.5 Rush Attempts (-128)
Hit in 4/4 recent games.
3⃣ J. Dotson:
Over 3.5 Rec Yards (-115) Hit in 2/2 recent games. Over 0.5 Receptions (-135) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
4⃣ Dallas Goedert:
Over 3.5 Receptions (-140) Hit in 3/3 recent games. Over 37.5 Rec Yards (-114) Hit in 3/3 recent games.
5⃣ D. Brown:
Over 3.5 Receptions (-140) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
6⃣ B. Robinson:
Over 9.5 Rush Attempts (+105) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
7⃣ Terry McLaurin: Over 64.5 Rec Yards (-114) Hit in 2/2 recent games. Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+145) Hit in 3/3 recent games.
8⃣ Jayden Daniels: – Over 10.5 Rush Attempts (-104) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
– 21.5 Pass Completions (-104) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
– 223.5 Pass Yards (-114) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
– Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+142) Hit in 2/2 recent games.
Top Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Trends – AFC Championship
Props Odds L5 (%) L10 (%) Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 31.5 Passing Attempts -120 100% 60% Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 20.5 Passing Completions -130 100% 60% Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 49.5 Rushing Yards -115 100% 60% DeAndre Hopkins · BUF @ KC Under 14.5 Longest Reception -120 80% 60% Travis Kelce · BUF @ KC Under 20.5 Longest Reception -104 80% 60% Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 285.5 Pass + Rush Yds -114 80% 50% Samaje Perine · BUF @ KC Over 8.5 Receiving Yards -115 80% 80% Amari Cooper · BUF @ KC Under 17.5 Receiving Yards -110 80% 60% Isiah Pacheco · BUF @ KC Under 6.5 Receiving Yards -120 80% 50% Kareem Hunt · BUF @ KC Under 1.5 Receptions -150 80% 60% Isiah Pacheco · BUF @ KC Under 1.5 Receptions -155 80% 50% Curtis Samuel · BUF @ KC Over 1.5 Receptions -110 80% 60% Xavier Worthy · BUF @ KC Over 4.5 Receptions -150 80% 60% Patrick Mahomes · BUF @ KC Under 24.5 Rushing Yards -114 80% 80% Isiah Pacheco · BUF @ KC Under 34.5 Rushing Yards -115 80% 40% James Cook · BUF @ KC Over 0.5 Touchdowns 130 80% 80%
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This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (1/26/25)
NFL Player Props Top Hit Rate Streaks
Jayden Daniels (Wash) – 175+ Passing YDS, Trend: 17/L17 Dawson Knox (Bills) – 1+ Receptions, Trend: 13/L13 Jalen Hurts (Eagles) – 25+ Rushing YDS, Trend: 11/L11 Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) – 40+ Receiving YDS, Trend: 8/L8 Devonta Smith (Eagles) – 3+ Receptions, Trend: 7/L7 Dyami Brown (Wash) – 2+ Receptions, Trend: 6/L6 Dallas Goedert (Eagles) – 3+ Receptions, Trend: 6/L6 Saquon Barkley (Eagles) – 100+ Rushing YDS, Trend: 4/L4 Khalil Shakir (Bills) – 25+ Receiving YDS, Trend: 3/L3 Terry McLaurin (Wash) – 50+ Receiving YDS, Trend: 3/L3 Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – 5+ Receptions, Trend: 3/L3
PrizePicks NFL Line Movement This Week
Player Team Market Previous Line PrizePicks Change % Change Xavier Worthy KC Receiving Yards 49.5 48.5 -1 2.0% Noah Gray KC Targets 2.0 2.5 0.5 25.0% Travis Kelce KC Receiving Yards 70.5 69.5 -1 1.4% Jalen Hurts PHI Rushing Yards 29.5 31.5 2 6.8% Mack Hollins BUF Receiving Yards 15.5 13.5 -2 12.9% Terry McLaurin WAS Receiving Yards 64.5 65.5 1 1.6% Dallas Goedert PHI Receptions 3.5 4.0 0.5 14.3% Noah Gray KC Receiving Yards 16.5 14.5 -2 12.1% Dyami Brown WAS Receiving Yards 42.5 44.5 2 4.7% Austin Ekeler WAS Rushing Yards 21.5 19.5 -2 9.3% Jamison Crowder WAS Receiving Yards 10.5 11.5 1 9.5% Khalil Shakir BUF Receiving Yards 57.5 56.5 -1 1.7% Curtis Samuel KC Receiving Yards 14.5 15.5 1 6.9% Isiah Pacheco KC Rushing Yards 34.5 32.5 -2 5.8% Austin Ekeler WAS Receiving Yards 26.5 24.5 -2 7.5% Saquon Barkley WAS Rushing + Receiving Yards 146.5 147.5 1 0.7% Saquon Barkley WAS Rushing Yards 127.5 129.5 2 1.6% Josh Allen BUF Passing Yards 229.5 230.5 1 0.4% Jayden Daniels WAS Pass Completions 20.5 21.0 0.5 2.4% Dallas Goedert PHI Receiving Yards 39.5 38.5 -1 2.5% Samaje Perine KC Receiving Yards 10.5 8.5 -2 19.0% DeAndre Hopkins BUF Receiving Yards 26.5 24.5 -2 7.5% Terry McLaurin WAS Fantasy Score 14.5 14.0 -0.5 3.4% Austin Ekeler WAS Fantasy Score 9.5 9.0 -0.5 5.3%
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Key Tips for Building Your Entries
Understand Game Scripts Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. Look for Consistent Performers Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. Use Recent Player Trends Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. Diversify Your Picks Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. Leverage Injury Reports Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.Common Mistakes to Avoid
Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses. Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props. Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.DFS PICK’EM APPS NEW USER BONUS PROMO CODE Underdog Fantasy $1,000 DEPOSIT BONUS MHS3P Vivid Picks $300 DEPOSIT BONUS MHS3P PrizePicks FREE $50 BONUS MHS3P Dabble Fantasy $25 FREE – NO DEPOSIT HITSTICK
PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL: Top Picks & Hit Rates NFC & AFC Title Games Mile High Sports.
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