Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Boston Celtics (29-13) are favored by 7 points against the Golden State Warriors (21-20) on Monday, January 20, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET. The matchup airs on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The matchup has an over/under of 224.

Celtics vs. Warriors Odds

Celtics odds to win: -295 Warriors odds to win: +240 Spread: Celtics (-7) Total: 224

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Warriors

Game Time and Information

When: Monday, January 20, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California TV: TNT, truTV, and MAX

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Warriors?

Celtics and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 7-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 12-20-1 against the spread.

The Warriors are 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this year.

Between them, these two teams average 4.9 more points per game (228.9) than this game’s over/under (224).

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 219.4 points per game, 4.6 fewer than the point total in this game.

The average total for Celtics games this season is 4.3 more points than the over/under of 224 in this game.

The average point total for Golden State this season is 1.1 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Boston has a 17-24-1 record against the spread this season.

The Warriors are 19-21-1 against the spread this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics outscore opponents by 8.9 points per game (scoring 117.5 points per game to rank fifth in the league while giving up 108.6 per outing to rank sixth in the NBA) and have a +373 scoring differential overall.

The Celtics pull down 45.2 rebounds per game (ninth in the league) compared to the 44.6 of their opponents.

Boston hits 17.8 three-pointers per game (first in the league), five more than its opponents (12.8). It is shooting 36.2% from deep (16th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.1%.

The Celtics average 116.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league), and allow 107.7 points per 100 possessions (sixth in the NBA).

The Celtics’ offense has been much better when playing at home (118 PPG) compared to their play on the road (116.8 PPG). However, their defense has been worse at home (109.3 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (107.7 PPG allowed).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +23 scoring differential, putting up 111.4 points per game (18th in league) and giving up 110.8 (eighth in NBA).

Golden State is third in the league at 46.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 more than the 45.1 its opponents average.

The Warriors hit 15.1 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), 1.6 more than their opponents.

The Warriors score 109.5 points per 100 possessions (19th in league), while giving up 108.5 points per 100 possessions (eighth in NBA).

Golden State is putting up more points at home (112 per game) than on the road (110.7).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Jayson Tatum puts up 27.7 points and 9.3 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game.

The Celtics get 3.7 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Tatum averages 1.3 takeaways per game, while Derrick White collects 1.2 rejections per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Stephen Curry tallies 23 points per game. He also contributes five rebounds and 6.2 assists per game this season.

This season, Trayce Jackson-Davis is averaging 8.5 points, 2.2 assists and 6.5 rebounds per game.

Curry averages 4.4 made threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive effort gets a boost from Dennis Schroder (one steal per game) and Draymond Green (1.1 blocks per game).