The FA Cup match between Arsenal and Manchester United, scheduled for January 12, 2025, is anticipated to be a competitive clash between two storied clubs. Historically, Arsenal holds a remarkable record in the FA Cup, boasting 14 titles . However, recent performances have raised questions about their form; they suffered a disappointing defeat against Newcastle in the EFL Cup semi-final and managed only a draw against Brighton . In contrast, Manchester United enters this fixture as the current title holder and will aim to maintain their dominance. Given these dynamics, predictions regarding the outcome of the match remain complex.
There's no rest for the weary, as Arsenal continue to see the fixtures come thick and fast on all fronts. This major FA Cup third round clash comes just three days before a midweek North London derby, with a return to Champions League play the following week.
It's the start of a run for the Gunners which will see them play eight matches over the next 25 days, an average of 3.13 days between fixtures across nearly a full month.
Arsenal possible starting lineup: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Odegaard, Rice, Merino; Jesus, Havertz, Martinelli
Manchester United possible starting lineup: Bayindir; De Ligt, Maguire, Martinez; Mazraoui, Ugarte, Mainoo, Dalot; Diallo, Fernandes; Hojlund
Eight of those 12 fixtures have featured three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those 12 fixtures. Based on United’s games alone, the odds of 1.91 (10/11) on the game having Over 2.5 Goals in 90 minutes are appealing.
Can Arsenal contribute to a high-scoring encounter? It is not clear that they can: their 20 Premier League games have averaged 2.9 goals per game, but only eight of those 20 matches had three or more goals.
When Arsenal play at home, a similarly unconvincing pattern emerges: only seven of their 15 (47 percent) home games in all competitions have featured three or more goals this season.
As for team lineups, Arsenal's predicted formation suggests a mix of experience and youth. The expected starting XI includes Neto in goal with a back four comprising Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, and Calafiori. Midfielders Jorginho and Merino are projected to support Odegaard in orchestrating play from midfield. Upfront, Gabriel Jesus leads the attack alongside Sterling and Martinelli. It is noteworthy that some key players may be rested or injured due to their upcoming commitments in the North London Derby.
Betting odds indicate that Arsenal are favored at -140 (Booth, 2025), suggesting confidence from analysts regarding their chances of winning. Predictions also highlight potential individual performances such as Gabriel Jesus scoring (+195) and Amad Diallo having at least one shot on target (-120) . Ultimately, while historical records favor Arsenal in this competition contextually against Manchester United’s current standing adds an intriguing layer to what promises to be an exciting encounter.
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