Celtics vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

Two of the NBA’s best scorers take the court when Jayson Tatum (fourth, 28.1 PPG) and the Boston Celtics (26-10) visit Nikola Jokic (second, 31.5 PPG) and the Denver Nuggets (20-14) on Tuesday, January 7, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET on TNT and NBCS-BOS. The Celtics are 4-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 235.5.

Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds

Celtics odds to win: -176 Nuggets odds to win: +148 Spread: Celtics (-4) Total: 235.5

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Nuggets

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Game Time and Information

When: Tuesday, January 7, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado TV: TNT and NBCS-BOS

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Nuggets?

Celtics and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 4 points or more, the Celtics have an 11-18-1 record against the spread.

The Nuggets have a 3-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this year.

These two teams average a combined 239.3 points per game, 3.8 more points than the over/under of 235.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 225.5 points per game, 10.0 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The average over/under the Celtics have had set in matchups this year is 7.2 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average over/under for Denver’s games this season is 5.2 more points than the point total of 235.5 for this outing.

Boston is 15-20-1 ATS this season.

The Nuggets are 15-18-1 against the spread this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics’ +367 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 118.5 points per game (fourth in the NBA) while allowing 108.3 per contest (sixth in the league).

The Celtics rank ninth in the league at 45.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.1 their opponents average.

Boston knocks down 18.4 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 36.7% from deep (14th in the NBA). It is making 5.6 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 12.8 per game while shooting 35.5%.

The Celtics average 117.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league), and give up 107.3 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the NBA).

So far in 2024-25, the Celtics’ offense has been slightly better at home, where they score 119.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 117.9 per game. On defense, they have been slightly worse at home, where they allow 108.9 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 107.7 per game.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +120 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 120.8 points per game (third in NBA) while allowing 117.2 per contest (24th in league).

The 45.4 rebounds per game Denver accumulates rank seventh in the NBA, 1.5 more than the 43.9 its opponents grab.

The Nuggets hit 11.8 three-pointers per game (26th in the league) while shooting 37.9% from deep (fourth-best in NBA). They are making 2.2 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 14.0 per game at 35.5%.

The Nuggets average 115.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in league), and allow 111.3 points per 100 possessions (18th in NBA).

Denver is putting up more points at home (120.9 per game) than away (120.7).

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Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum puts up 28.1 points and 9.4 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.

The Celtics get 3.9 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Tatum averages 1.3 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 1.3 shots per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic is having a strong season overall, averaging 31.5 points per game, 13.0 rebounds per game, and 9.7 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. cashes in on 2.7 treys per game.

Russell Westbrook’s 1.7 steals and Peyton Watson’s 1.0 block per game are key to the Nuggets’ defensive production.