BofA: 6 reasons to stay bearish on the USD despite the US-China truce ...Middle East

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Key Points:

Lingering economic drag:Even with de-escalation, the U.S. economy is now on a slower growth path than pre-trade war due to delayed investment and weakened business confidence.

Foreign asset reallocation:Institutional real money investors are reassessing exposure to U.S. assets and the dollar, contributing to persistent capital outflows.

Weaker-dollar bias from policymakers:The Trump administration continues to favor lower rates and a softer dollar, which adds to long-term depreciation pressures.

BofA remains bearish on the USD, despite tactical reprieves. Structural forces—ranging from weaker capital inflows to policy unpredictability—are seen as increasingly difficult to reverse, suggesting a lower dollar over the medium term with a choppier path forward.

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This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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