UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans Prediction: Picks and Betting Odds

A pair of struggling teams square off when the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (14-15, 6-12 Southland) host the New Orleans Privateers (4-25, 2-16 Southland) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 5:30 p.m. ET. The Privateers are big, 10.5-point underdogs as they try to end an 11-game losing streak against the Vaqueros, who have lost three straight. The matchup’s point total is set at 154.5.

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans Odds

UT Rio Grande Valley odds to win: -549 New Orleans odds to win: +410 Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley (-10.5) Total: 154.5

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025 Time: 5:30 p.m. ET TV: ESPN+ Where: Edinburg, Texas Venue: UTRGV Fieldhouse

Who Will Win UT Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans?

UT Rio Grande Valley and New Orleans Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games it has played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, UT Rio Grande Valley is 1-1 against the spread.

When it has played as at least a 10.5-point underdog this season, New Orleans is 9-7 against the spread.

These teams average a combined 144.1 points per game, 10.4 fewer points than the total of 154.5 set for this game.

UT Rio Grande Valley and New Orleans have seen its opponents average a combined 1.1 more points per game than the over/under of 154.5 set in this game.

The average point total in UT Rio Grande Valley’s games this season is 4.4 fewer points than the total of 154.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for the Privateers this season is 4.9 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, the Vaqueros have put together a 12-12-1 record against the spread.

The Privateers have a 13-16-0 record against the spread this year.

UT Rio Grande Valley Stats & Insights

UT Rio Grande Valley has a +73 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.5 points per game. It is putting up 76.3 points per game to rank 114th in college basketball and is giving up 73.8 per outing to rank 239th in college basketball.

UT Rio Grande Valley ranks 131st in the country at 32.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 33.3 its opponents average.

The Vaqueros connect on 10.4 three-pointers per game (18th in college basketball) at a 32.3% rate (275th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 per game their opponents make at a 32.7% rate.

UT Rio Grande Valley ranks 246th in college basketball by averaging 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 113th in college basketball, allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions.

The Vaqueros post 77.5 points per game in home games, compared to 73.8 points per game in road games, a difference of 3.7 points per contest.

New Orleans Stats & Insights

New Orleans puts up 67.8 points per game (323rd in college basketball) while allowing 81.8 per outing (358th in college basketball). It has a -408 scoring differential and has been outscored by 14.0 points per game.

New Orleans averages 31.4 rebounds per game (215th in college basketball) while conceding 36.1 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 4.7 boards per game.

New Orleans connects on 5.6 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball), 4.1 fewer than its opponents.

New Orleans ranks 359th in college basketball with 83.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 347th defensively with 101.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Privateers are putting up more points at home (69.2 per game) than away (66.8).

UT Rio Grande Valley Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Vaqueros this season is Dekedran Thorn, who averages 12.0 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game.

Howard Fleming Jr. is UT Rio Grande Valley’s leading rebounder, pulling down 6.2 per game, while Trey Miller is its best passer, distributing 4.3 assists in each contest.

The Vaqueros get the most three-point shooting production out of Cliff Davis, who knocks down 3.1 threes per game.

Thorn and Kwo Agwa lead UT Rio Grande Valley on the defensive end, with Thorn leading the team in steals averaging 1.5 per game and Agwa in blocks averaging 1.1 per contest.

New Orleans Key Players to Watch

The Privateers’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Michael Thomas with 11.0 points and 7.9 rebounds per game.

JR Jacobs’ assist statline leads New Orleans with 4.0 assists per game.

Cedquavious Hunter is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Privateers, hitting 1.9 threes per game.

New Orleans’ leader in steals is Jah Short (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Thomas (0.8 per game).