The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 4.6 percent on June 2, up from 3.8 percent on May 30. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.3 percent and -1.4 percent, respectively, to 4.0 percent and 0.5 percent.
The next GDPNow update is Thursday, June 5. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases.
Remember, however, that last quarter growth fell -0.2% with the trade a large negative. Below are the contributors to the -0.2% negative growth in the 1Q:
Gross Private Domestic Investment (GPDI): +4.0 percentage points
Government Consumption Expenditures (GCE): −0.1 percentage points
GDP is a quarter on quarter measurement that gets annualized. So if you get 1% gain from the prior quarter, that implies near 4% GDP annualized number. There can be volatility as a result - especially if you have things like tariffs forcing businesses to load up on imports.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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