The College Football Playoff has adjusted its seeding rules for the 2025 season.
According to multiple reports, the Playoff will now adapt a “straight seeding” structure, which has some major differences from what we saw in Year 1 of the 12-team Playoff last season. Last year, the top 4 seeds who received first-round byes were all conference champions.
Under the new seeding model, the top 4 seeds regardless of their conference title status will receive first-round byes. Notre Dame will also reportedly be able to earn a first-round bye in the future despite not participating in a conference title game — something that wouldn’t have been possible under the old set of rules.
Had this seeding structure been in place a year ago, here are the teams that would have earned first-round byes: Oregon, Georgia, Texas and Penn State. That would have resulted in Arizona State and Clemson each having to play Round 1 games rather than getting a bye to the quarterfinals.
Here’s what the first round matchups would have looked like:
No. 12 Clemson at No. 5 Notre Dame No. 11 Arizona State at No. 6 Ohio State No. 10 SMU at No. 7 Tennessee No. 9 Boise State at No. 8 IndianaHad the favorites all taken care of business, then these would have been the quarterfinal matchups in 2024:
No. 5 Notre Dame vs. No. 4 Penn State No. 6 Ohio State vs. No. 3 Texas No. 7 Tennessee vs. No. 2 Georgia No. 8 Indiana vs. No. 1 OregonOf course, that would have likely produced a very different set of results than what we ultimately saw play out last winter. In reality, Oregon was eliminated in the quarterfinals by eventual-champion Ohio State. Under this set of rules, the Ducks would have been massive favorites over Indiana in the quarterfinals and would have avoided a matchup with the Buckeyes until the title game.
Tennessee, who met Ohio State in Round 1 last season, wouldn’t have had to face the Buckeyes until the semifinals under these seeding principles. Crucially, that game also would have taken place at a neutral site instead of in Columbus.
This particular scenario also would have resulted in a much tougher path for national runner-up Notre Dame. The Irish would have had to beat Clemson and Penn State just to get to the semifinals, where they would have likely met No. 1-seeded Oregon.
Here’s what the 2024 College Football Playoff would have looked like with new seeding rules Saturday Down South.
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