The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals Wednesday night game has been rescheduled for Thursday.
After their initial contest was postponed, AJ Smith-Shawver gets an extra day of rest before battling it out against the Washington Nationals anemic offense.
The Braves rookie pitcher will be in a great position to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a lineup who struggles with making contact and getting on base at a competitive rate.
With eight other games taking place on Thursday night’s slate, there are plenty of prop bets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.
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Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals (6:45pm, EST)
AJ Smith-Shawver over 4.5 strikeouts: (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Since the start of the regular season, AJ Smith-Shawver has quickly built a case for being the deserving favorite for the NL Rookie of the Year award as the Atlanta Braves pitcher averages an ERA of 2.33, a FIP of 3.42, and over one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.
His back end also helps limit the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Braves defense ranks 10th overall in Defensive Efficiency.
Against Washington’s struggling offense, Smith-Shawver will have the opportunity to strengthen his claim for the award by generating a high rate of Strikeouts as he faces off against a Nationals lineup who ranks below league average in Team Total Hits.
For some more exposure, escalator bet Smith-Shawver’s Strikeout prop by placing smaller wagers on his altenerate totals at the best available odds.
Austin Riley over 0.5 single: (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook
On the other side of the field, Trevor Williams has struggled to find his footing this season as the Nationals pitcher currently averages a WHIP of 1.533 and over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.
Unlike the Braves, the Nationals fail to give Williams the support he needs to mask his struggles on the mound as their defense ranks 28th in Defensive Efficiency.
Williams struggles on the mound bodes well for Austin Riley as the Braves batter excels at making contact. Since the start of the season, Riley is averaging over one Hit per game and a 0.283 Batting Average.
Expect Riley to consistently make contact against Williams and exploit the Nationals gaps in coverage to help cash this prop.
San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays (1:07pm, EST)
Luis Arraez over 1.5 hits: (+135) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Arguably one of the most consistent contact batters in the league, Luis Arraez has been able to sustain his high level of play in his new home as the former Miami Marlin is averaging over one Hit per game, a 0.301 Batting Average, and a 0.771 OPS.
Since arriving in San Diego, Arraez gets the benefit of tighter strike zones as opposing pitchers are forced to be more aggressive in an attempt to keep him off the bases with Manny Machado batting after him.
Expect Arraez to continue to generate Hits at a consistent rate on Thursday night as he faces off against Toronto’s Bowden Francis who has struggled to avoid contact this season. In his nine starts, Francis is averaging nearly six Hits Against per game, a WHIP of 1.403, and a FIP of 6.50.
Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees (12:35pm, EST)
Carlos Rodon over 6.5 strikeouts: (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Carlos Rodon has the opportunity to generate a high rate of Strikeouts against Texas as he faces off against a Rangers offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate.
Rodon has been one of the more aggressive arms in the AL this season as the Yankees pitcher averages 1.21 Strikeouts per Inning Pitched and a WHIP of 0.989. If Rodon’s Strikeout prop moves up 7.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
Aaron Judge under 0.5 RBI: (-220) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Negative regression looms large over Aaron Judge in regard to generating RBI’s as he faces off against the Rangers Nathan Eovaldi who averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched while leading the AL in WHIP.
This lessens the reigning AL MVP’s chances of bringing home a runner as his supporting cast will struggle to get into scoring position.
About the author
Kody Malstrom
Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.
Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.
When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.
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