ICYMI - Goldman Sachs: US tariffs may weaken the dollar as growth slows ...Middle East

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“The US dollar’s weakness against its major peers during the first quarter of 2025 is anticipated... to persist,” with GS forecasts of a 10% drop against the euro and 9% declines versus the yen and pound.

The report notes deteriorating sentiment toward US assets due to “consumer boycotts of US goods” and a fall in inbound tourism after tariff announcements, all weighing modestly on GDP.

Foreign central banks are reducing dollar reliance, and Goldman warns private investors may soon follow: “It is possible that the broader policy disruptions and eroded exceptionalism will see private sector investors follow a similar pattern now.”

Tariffs and FX implications:

Goldman notes the nature of current tariffs — broad and unilateral — may shift the economic burden to the US: “US businesses and consumers become the price-takers... it is the dollar that needs to weaken to adjust if supply chains and/or consumers are relatively inelastic in the short term.”

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DXY is a USD index, up

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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