Nigel Farage is now openly mocking Kemi Badenoch ...Middle East

The Reform leader isn’t just good at speaking to the very deep fears of voters. He is also excellent at knowing exactly which buttons to press to send the Conservative Party mad. That’s why he made it about the question of Badenoch’s leadership – not just because she has performed poorly in her first six months at the top, but also because the Tory party hasn’t yet recovered from its predilection for psychodrama and obsessing about the right time to send another boss hurtling out of the window.

Now there will be even more talk of a pact between Reform and the Conservatives, more videos of Robert Jenrick walking faster through London than he moved in the marathon, and more obsessing.

After any big election defeat at the end of a long period in government, it is impossible for a party to rebound within six months. Conservative HQ has tried to emphasise that in the lines to take for MPs today, with frontbenchers saying Badenoch has “only been leader for six months”, and that “it’s going to take us a long time to build back that trust”.

The problem for Badenoch is that she does not have the one luxury that Keir Starmer enjoyed when he was leader of the opposition. That luxury was the ability to benefit from the Conservatives’ misfortune without having to do much himself. So long as Labour wasn’t obviously unhinged, then Starmer could watch voters turning away in disgust from the Tories, and come reluctantly to his party.

square KITTY DONALDSON

Six votes prove it: Reform UK is now a serious political force

Badenoch hasn’t produced any policy at all while she considers what the Tories stand for, and she will come under much more pressure now – not just to start making announcements, but to make colourful policies that counter the Reform threat.

But policymaking purely with Reform voters in mind then makes it harder for the Conservatives to win back their other lost group of voters, who have bled to the Liberal Democrats. Those ex-Conservatives are also appalled by the psychodrama and constant obsessing about leaders, but they also do not like the idea of an inward-looking Britain.

Isabel Hardman is assistant editor of ‘The Spectator’ magazine

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