The impact was electrifying but whatever did he mean? Was it a purr – “Oh, Vladimir, do stop” – or a tart putdown? While the Kremlin is deliberately secretive and opaque, Trump invites everybody to see what’s going on in his head.
Faced with a global meltdown over tariffs, the US President needs a win. Stopping the war has turned out to be more a work-in-progress than he imagined on day one of his presidency, and it has been as plain as daylight that Putin has been stringing him along.
Then again, this might simply be a way to soften up the public for washing his hands of Ukraine. Trump always gives himself a get-out clause that Maga cultists can recycle to prove how wise and honourable he is.
Likewise, if Trump were to walk away from peace talks, growling “it’s not my war”, he will be able to pretend he wasn’t as slavish to Putin as critics contend. He has been astonishingly successful at rewriting history to his own benefit.
However, there was a second part to Trump’s social media post that deserves attention. “Let’s get a peace deal DONE!” he urged. There are reasons to believe that it might be coming, albeit in fragile form.
Trump is hammering the Ukrainians into making painful concessions. Conversely, he has been playing nice with Russia because all Putin needs to do for peace to break out is “STOP!”.
In the Washington Post, the veteran foreign policy analyst David Ignatius argues that Trump may have found a path to peace. As ever in diplomacy, the outcome will involve agreements to differ.
Russia would remain in charge of the territory it occupies, but Ukraine wouldn’t have to cede its claim to sovereignty. Although it couldn’t join Nato, it wouldn’t have to give up its aspiration to do so. But Ukraine could join the EU.
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Read More“Zelensky understands that, and everybody understands that it’s been with them for a long time. It’s been with them long before Trump came along,” he added. But Ukraine wouldn’t have to ratify this.
The US will continue intelligence-sharing with Ukraine, but security guarantees in the form of military assistance will have to come from Britain and members of the EU.
Sarah Baxter is director of the Marie Colvin Centre for International Reporting
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