We look ahead to Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg with our Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona prediction and preview. Hansi Flick’s side have one foot in the semis after winning the first leg 4-0, but can BVB secure a historic comeback?
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Stats: The Key Insights
Barcelona are predicted to follow up their first-leg success with a win in Dortmund on Tuesday night by the Opta supercomputer. In Raphinha (12 goals) and Robert Lewandowski (11), Barcelona have this season’s top two goalscorers in the UEFA Champions League. Borussia Dortmund have never beaten Barcelona in a competitive match across six previous attempts (L4 D2).Borussia Dortmund head into the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final against Barcelona with a four-goal deficit after last week’s thrashing in Spain. A comeback is extremely unlikely, but it has happened before in the Champions League, and that was in a tie involving Barca.
BVB’s defeat in the reverse fixture was the 160th time that a team have lost by 4+ goals in the first leg of a knockout-stage tie in the European Cup/Champions League. Of the previous 159, only one team have ever managed to progress from the second leg: Barcelona versus Paris Saint-Germain in the last 16 in 2016-17 (lost 4-0 in the first leg, won 6-1 in the second).
If overcoming a four-goal deficit wasn’t difficult enough, Dortmund will have to do it against a club they’ve never beaten before. They’ve not won any of their previous six encounters with Barcelona in a competitive match, and if they fail to win here it’ll be their joint-longest winless run against an opponent in Europe alongside a seven-game streak versus Scottish club Rangers between 1966 and 1999.
Free-scoring Barcelona are now the Opta supercomputer favourites for the Champions League this season, and they have averaged 3.3 goals per game across the 2024-25 competition. Of teams to play at least 10 games in a UCL season, only Bayern Munich in 2019-20 (3.9 per game) have averaged more goals per game than this Barça side. That Bayern team were also led by current Barça coach Hansi Flick.
In Raphinha (12 goals) and Robert Lewandowski (11), Barcelona have this season’s top two goalscorers in the UCL. Their Brazilian star has been directly involved in 19 goals in 11 Champions League appearances this season (12 goals, 7 assists), and could become just the third player to reach 20+ goal involvements in a single edition, after Cristiano Ronaldo (21 in 2013-14, 20 in 2015-16) and Lewandowski (20 in 2019-20).
Lewandowski became just the third man to score 100 Champions League goals earlier this season, and is now on 105 in the competition, as he chases down second-placed Lionel Messi (129) and Ronaldo’s competition-high 140. Turning 37 before next season’s Champions League, it’s unlikely he’ll be able to match either of their tallies, but his record in the competition since turning 30 has been exceptional. With 60 goals in 59 UCL appearances since hitting that milestone, only Ronaldo has more in the competition in his 30s (68 goals in 74 games).
Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy is close behind the Barcelona pair in this season’s goal rankings. While he’s scored 10 times in 13 appearances in the Champions League this season, his form has deserted him of late. Guirassy hasn’t scored in any of his last four UCL appearances, while none of his last 10 shots in the competition have been converted, after scoring with 40% of shots this season beforehand (10/25).
Barcelona come into this match in exceptional form, having not lost since a 2-1 league defeat against Atlético Madrid on 21 December last year. They’ve since gone 24 competitive games without a loss (W20 D4) and their latest victory came in the weekend win over Leganes in La Liga thanks to a Jorge Sáenz own goal. That result sees them lead the La Liga standings by four points ahead of rivals Real Madrid with seven games remaining.
Borussia Dortmund’s season hasn’t gone so well domestically. This weekend’s 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich in Der Klassiker leaves Niko Kovač’s side in eighth place in the Bundesliga table, 27 points off leaders Bayern and with work to do to qualify for the Champions League next season.
Maximilian Beier scored the opening goal at the Allianz Arena at the weekend to continue his recent run of form. He’s scored four and assisted two more in his last six competitive games for the club. Beier is still one goal shy of reaching double figures for Dortmund this season in all competitions, with only Guirassy (25) and Jamie Gittens (12) doing so for the club across 2024-25 so far.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Head-to-Head
The first leg of this tie saw Borussia Dortmund suffer their joint-heaviest ever defeat in a European Cup/UEFA Champions League match, alongside a 4-0 loss to Ajax in the 2021-22 group stage.
That victory means that Barcelona have won all three of their games against German sides in the Champions League this season, beating Bayern Munich (4-1) and Borussia Dortmund twice (3-2 and 4-0). If Barça win this match, they’ll become the first side to win away to Dortmund more than once in the same European campaign.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction
The Opta supercomputer predicts that Barcelona are the most likely side to win this match, with the Spanish giants winning 49.7% of the pre-game simulations in Dortmund.
Following their emphatic first-leg victory last week, Barcelona are the supercomputer’s most confident pick for a projected place in the semi-finals of the Champions League. They reach the final four in 99.4% of current simulations and also reach the final the most often (54.7%).
Unsurprisingly, this also makes Barcelona the current favourites to win the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League (28.2%) ahead of Arsenal. If they go on to win this tie, as expected, they will face the winners of Bayern Munich vs Inter.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Predicted Lineups
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off on Tuesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction Opta Analyst.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Prediction )
Also on site :