The Six Nations permutations that could hand England or Ireland unlikely glory ...Middle East

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England, Ireland and extreme outsiders Scotland could all pip the French to it, while Italy and Wales are thinking only of fifth place at best. Ireland have already taken the Triple Crown for beating England, Scotland and Wales.

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Ireland play Italy in Rome at 2.15pm, followed Wales versus England in Cardiff at 4.45pm, leaving France and Scotland aware of where they stand when they round it all off in Paris at 8pm (all times GMT).

Teams who finish level on match points in the final table are separated first by points difference, then by tries scored.

16 points with a points difference (PD) of +106, tries scored 26

The French will be missing their injured talisman Antoine Dupont, and if they falter with a draw or a defeat, it could let in either England or Ireland, depending on their results earlier in the day. France, by the way, also need four tries to beat England’s Six Nations record of 29 in a single Championship, set in 2001.

England

England are the only team to have beaten the French this year to date, at Twickenham in round two, as they chase a first Six Nations title since 2020. To do so, they must win in Wales and hope Scotland do them a favour in Paris in the evening by denying the French a win. England also need to nab enough points to keep Ireland at bay, if the Irish win in Rome.

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14 match points, PD +13, tries scored 13

Scotland

11 match points, PD +3, tries scored 15

4 match points, PD -77, tries scored 8

Wales

3 match points, PD -65, tries scored 8

Jac Morgan’s team could make a weird kind of history as the first to lose all five matches and avoid the wooden spoon, if they get above Italy with bonus points, which were introduced to the Six Nations in 2017. On the other hand, victory over England would make for a fantastic feelgood factor on the final day.

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