Order Flow Prediction Score: +3 (Moderate Bullish Bias)
Price of NQ at the time of this analysis: 19428
Understanding Order Flow Analysis & The Prediction Score
Trade Volume & Distribution – Are large players accumulating or distributing?Delta Strength & Shifts – Are buyers absorbing sell pressure, or are sellers still dominant?Liquidity Absorption – Are key levels holding firm, signaling a possible trend shift?Key Price Levels (VWAP, POC, VAH, VAL) – Are these areas showing rejection, absorption, or breakouts?
By integrating these factors, order flow analysis helps anticipate market moves rather than just reacting to price changes.
Key Findings from Recent Order Flow Data
1️⃣ Yesterday’s Value Area Low (VAL) at 19,358 remains a critical level. Price is currently holding above this level, showing that sellers have failed to push below it. The latest bar closed at approximately 19,390, signaling demand stepping in.
2️⃣ Delta SL from the latest price action suggests bullish pressure. This is significant given that it occurred during a lower volume period (pre-market). Buying strength during thin liquidity suggests positioning ahead of regular market hours.
3️⃣ Historic support at 19,154 – 19,139 has held. While not a definitive bottom, price has reacted to these levels, suggesting some selling absorption.
4️⃣ Today’s VWAP at 19,328 aligns closely with yesterday’s VAL at 19,358. This creates a zone of interest where buyers and sellers are actively battling for control.
5️⃣ POC of yesterday and today remains at 19,439, an important resistance level. If price moves above and holds this level, it would signal stronger buyer conviction.
How the scoring system works:
-10 to -6 → Strong Bearish (Sellers fully in control, high probability of further downside)-5 to -3 → Moderate Bearish (Sellers still favored, but some early buying attempts may emerge)-2 to +2 → Neutral (Market indecisive, no strong bias yet)+3 to +5 → Moderate Bullish (Buyers gaining control, but confirmation needed)+6 to +10 → Strong Bullish (Buyers fully in control, high probability of further upside)Buying pressure is emerging, but the strength is not overwhelming yet.There is still a chance that sellers could regain control if price fails to hold above 19,358 or gets rejected at 19,439.The order flow shift is happening during lower volume hours, making it less reliable without follow-through in regular market conditions.
Why is the AI prediction score for the Nasdaq not lower?
Signs of seller exhaustion are appearing, as price failed to break below 19,358.Delta SL turned positive, signaling buyers absorbing sell pressure.The POC of today remains the same as yesterday’s, hinting at potential accumulation rather than aggressive distribution.✅ Bullish Scenario:
A move above 19,439 (POC) could confirm further upside potential.Holding above 19,358 (yesterday’s VAL) would provide additional confidence for buyers.If price fails to hold 19,328 (VWAP) and drops back below 19,358, selling pressure could resume.A breakdown below 19,154 – 19,139 would shift focus back to lower levels.
In Short, Nasdaq May Be Forming a Bottom Here (Even for a Swing Long)
This is not financial advice and you should do your own research, using the above as an opinion and a potential decision support tool, at your sole discretion and your own risk. Visit ForexLive.com for additional views.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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