As we head into earnings season, all eyes are on the mega-cap tech giants—and two names stand out: Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT). While traditional analysts focus on revenue forecasts, profit margins, and guidance, we’re bringing you something entirely unique—a head-to-head showdown through deep Orderflow analysis.
This exclusive analysis is backed by seven weeks of order flow data, filtering out noise to detect where big players are positioning ahead of earnings. Let’s dive in. ?
Our methodology involves tracking Level 2 order flow data for:? Google stock (GOOG)? Microsoft stock (MSFT)? Nasdaq futures (NQ) as the benchmark
1️⃣ Compare Google vs. Nasdaq – How does Google’s order flow align with or diverge from NQ?2️⃣ Compare Microsoft vs. Nasdaq – Does MSFT show stronger or weaker order flow signals than NQ?3️⃣ Head-to-Head: Google vs. Microsoft – Which stock exhibits stronger hidden accumulation or selling pressure?
Relative Strength Comparison: MSFT/NQ vs. GOOG/NQ
We assess the relative strength of Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOG) against Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ) by analyzing their weekly volumetric stats over the same period. Our goal is to determine which stock exhibited stronger bullish or weaker bearish behavior compared to NQ, giving us a deeper look at institutional participation.
? Key Observations on MSFT
Delta (%): MSFT saw major volatility, including a deeply negative week (-38.55%), followed by a strong recovery, but later weeks remained choppy.Cumulative Delta: Negative overall, suggesting sellers dominated for most of the period.Volume: Large fluctuations but no clear sustained uptrend.Buy/Sell Ratio: Sell pressure outweighed buying multiple times, particularly in Week 2 (Bar 2), which saw a big sell-off.Price Action: The last 3 weeks showed a strong bounce, suggesting buyers stepped in aggressively.Delta (%): More stable than MSFT, with fewer extreme swings.Cumulative Delta: Slightly negative, but not as weak as MSFT.Buy/Sell Ratio: Balanced, hovering around 50%.Price Action: The weekly NQ chart showed steady but less volatile movement compared to MSFT.
? Conclusion: MSFT vs. NQ
MSFT underperformed NQ early on but began to catch up in the last 3 weeks.The biggest weakness was in Week 2, where MSFT suffered heavy selling pressure while NQ remained relatively stable.Current Outlook: MSFT is recovering, but its cumulative delta remains weaker compared to NQ.? Key Observations on GOOG
Delta (%): Large fluctuations, with an extremely weak Week 5 (-20.09%), followed by a strong recovery in Week 6 (+5.94%).Cumulative Delta: Slightly negative, suggesting sellers had control but not as extreme as MSFT.Volume: More consistent than MSFT, indicating steadier participation.Buy/Sell Ratio: Some weeks heavily skewed toward selling, similar to MSFT.NQ remained more stable than GOOG, which had deeper volatility.GOOG’s mid-period (Week 5) showed severe weakness, but Week 6 had a solid recovery, similar to MSFT.Price action confirms a strong bounce from previous lows.
? Conclusion: GOOG vs. NQ
GOOG underperformed NQ in the early period, just like MSFT.Mid-period weakness (Week 5) was worse than MSFT, but GOOG recovered better in Week 6.Current Outlook: GOOG is recovering, but its relative strength remains slightly weaker than MSFT.5️⃣ Final Verdict: Who’s Stronger?
MSFT is showing a slightly stronger recovery than GOOG relative to NQ.GOOG had a worse mid-period decline (Week 5) than MSFT, though it bounced back stronger in Week 6.NQ remained more stable than both stocks, which faced heavy selling pressure at times.If this trend continues, MSFT may exhibit better relative strength than GOOG in the coming weeks.? AI-Powered Orderflow Intel: Insights Beyond the Surface
? Stay tuned for more cutting-edge Orderflow Intel reports from ForexLive.com, where we continue to push the boundaries of market analysis.
? Remember: No AI or single analysis is a crystal ball—this is not financial advice. Always do your own research, use this as a guiding tool, and trade at your own risk. ?
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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