With trimmed mean inflation at 0.5% for the quarter (3.2% year-on-year), Westpac believes there is now sufficient evidence to suggest disinflation has progressed faster than the RBA had anticipated. As a result, the central bank is expected to gain the confidence needed to initiate a rate-cutting cycle at its February meeting.
Beyond the next meeting, the bank expects the RBA to remain data-dependent and take a measured approach to further easing. Westpac’s baseline scenario now projects additional rate cuts in May, August, and November, bringing the cash rate down to 3.35% by year-end. This marks a return to Westpac’s earlier rate trajectory, as recent economic trends align with their initial forecasts, rather than the more hawkish stance on domestic cost pressures that previously suggested a prolonged period of restrictive policy.
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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