In an article published on the The Hill website, O'Hanlon, who is theDirector of Research at the Foreign Policy Program at the BrookingsInstitution, stated, "Achieving stability in a country that has justemerged from a dictatorship and a brutal war is not easy."
He compared this scenario to Iraq following the US invasion, emphasizingthat for elections to be successful, the security situation must be stable, asvoting for most people "is more than just a means to ensure the protectionof their families and communities."
O'Hanlon's views sharply contrast with the rhetoric often heard from USofficials discussing strategies for engaging with the new Syrian administrationthat ousted the former President Bashar Al-Assad.
He suggested that the US under Trump could work with its allies to encouragethe Syrian transitional government to form an inclusive government thatprotects the rights of individuals and minorities, "instead of rushinginto elections that could tear the country apart."
He argued that "developing a well-structured, multi-year plan forSyria’s transition to democratic governance is the wisest, most realistic, andmost effective option," urging countries to push the new leadership inSyria in that direction.
The author brought up the post US invasion of Iraq situation as an exampleof the dangers due to rushing into elections, stating that US President GeorgeW. Bush had asked Ambassador Paul Bremer to lead Iraq for a year after theinvasion, then establish an Iraqi Governing Council and hold three rounds ofelections.
He argued that the Iraqi experience does not imply that a future Syriashould become an authoritarian state governed by one individual or party, butrather highlights the "need for caution in the pace of democratictransition."
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