Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Boston Celtics (23-8) square off against the Indiana Pacers (15-17) as heavy, 11.5-point favorites on Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET on NBCS-BOS and FDSIN. The matchup has a point total of 233.5.

Celtics vs. Pacers Odds

Celtics odds to win: -592 Pacers odds to win: +440 Spread: Celtics (-11.5) Total: 233.5

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Game Time and Information

When: Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts TV: NBCS-BOS and FDSIN

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Pacers?

Celtics and Pacers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics have a 4-9 record against the spread this season when favored by 11.5 points or more.

The Pacers are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or greater this season.

These two teams average 234 points per game combined, 0.5 more than the over/under of 233.5.

Boston and Indiana have seen its opponents average a combined 7.0 fewer points per game than the over/under of 233.5 set for this matchup.

The average point total in Celtics games this season is 4.6 fewer points than the total of 233.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Indiana this season is 1.6 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Boston’s ATS record is 12-18-1 this season.

The Pacers have a 12-18-2 record against the spread this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics’ +309 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 119.6 points per game (fourth in the NBA) while giving up 109.7 per outing (seventh in the league).

The Celtics come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. They are pulling down 45.5 rebounds per game (fifth in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.2 per outing.

Boston makes 18.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 36.6% rate (15th in the NBA), compared to the 12.8 per game its opponents make at a 35.2% rate.

The Celtics’ 117.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank third in the NBA, and the 107.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank eighth in the league.

The Celtics have been slightly worse offensively at home, where they average 119 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 120.4 per game. Defensively, they are slightly worse at home, where they concede 110.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to average 108.9 per game.

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers have been outscored by 2.4 points per game (posting 114.4 points per game, 11th in league, while giving up 116.8 per contest, 22nd in NBA) and have a -77 scoring differential.

Indiana loses the rebound battle by an average of 3.4 boards. It pulls down 40.8 rebounds per game (28th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.2.

The Pacers make 12.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.3% rate (10th in NBA), compared to the 13.5 their opponents make, shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc.

The Pacers rank 10th in the NBA with 111.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd defensively with 113.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Indiana scores 117.5 points per game at home, and 112.4 away.

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Celtics Key Players to Watch

Jayson Tatum puts up 28.7 points and 9.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game.

Payton Pritchard leads active Celtics in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Jaylen Brown averages 1.4 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 1.1 shots per contest.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

Pascal Siakam has been among the team’s best in both scoring (19.9 points per game) and rebounding (7.2 rebounds per game) while adding 3.3 assists per contest.

Tyrese Haliburton’s per-game averages this season are 17.4 points, 8.8 assists and 3.5 rebounds.

Haliburton makes three treys per game.

The Pacers’ defensive effort gets a lift from Haliburton’s 1.2 steals and Myles Turner’s 2.1 blocks per game.