The S&P Global Ratings outlook for the first quarter of 2025 is titled "Buckle Up". Key points made in the report:Even before taking office, a second Trump administration is already moving the macro-financial needle and raising downside risks for the global economy. The degree of ultimate policy implementation is a key unknown.Our preliminary policy read on the new U.S. administration is that positive growth effects will be minimal, inflation pressures will rise, and the Fed is likely to stop cutting rates earlier. This will lead to tighter financial conditions, a stronger dollar, and a more complicated macroeconomic picture elsewhere.Owing to a "wait and see" approach, our GDP growth foreca
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