The Detroit Tigers and Washington Nationals conclude their three-game series on Thursday night after splitting their doubleheader the day before.
After going 1-1 in their doubleheader against Washington on Wednesday night, the Detroit Tigers have the opportunity to cap off their series with a win, as oddsmakers have them listed as the betting favourite on the moneyline.
Jake Irvin, taking the mound for Washington, will also allow the Tigers to sustain their high level of play on offence as the Nationals pitcher struggles with avoiding contact.
With ten games taking place on Thursday, there are plenty of markets to explore, and you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.
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Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals (6:45pm, EST)
Detroit Tigers First Five Innings Team Total Over 2.5: (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook
After failing to play at a competitive level last year, the Detroit Tigers’ offence has drastically elevated their level of play this season as they head into Thursday’s contest against Washington, ranked top-10 in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Even though their Strikeout Rate is high, the Tigers have been able to counter it by getting walked at a league-average rate as well.
With Jake Irvin set to take the mound, the Tigers’ offence will have the opportunity to open up the scoring early on in the contest, as the Washington Nationals pitcher has struggled with avoiding contact. In his 17 starts, Irvin is averaging an ERA of 4.73, a WHIP of 1.303, a FIP of 5.15, and fewer than one hit per Inning Pitched.
Jake Irvin Under 17.5 Outs: (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Not only has Irvin struggled with his command on the mound, but he also receives minimal support from his back end, as the Nationals’ defence ranks 24th in Defensive Efficiency.
This brings in a higher amount of contact variance into his outings, which hurts his chances of going the full length of his start. Should an 18.5 appear in the market, then increase your exposure on this prop.
Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies (3:10pm, EST)
Kyle Freeland Under 3.5 Strikeouts: (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Like the Tigers, the Houston Astros offence is also in a favourable position to thrive as they are set to battle it out against Kyle Freeland, who currently averages an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.597. His struggles on the mound can be attributed to his inability to punch out, as Freeland also averages over seven Hits Allowed per game and less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.
Against Houston, Freeland will continue to struggle with generating Strikeouts as he faces off against an Astros offence that ranks above league average in Team Total Hits and in On Base Percentage. The Astros also possess a high level of discipline at the plate as their offence ranks near the bottom of the board in Strikeout Rate.
Jose Altuve Total Bases Over 1.5: (-170) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Jose Altuve has played a major role in the Astros’ recent resurgence on offence as the star second baseman is averaging one Hit per game and a .259 Batting Average.
With Freeland failing to create Whiffs due to his lack of command, Altuve will be able to make contact at a more consistent rate. Escalator bet Altuve’s Total Bases prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals.
Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10pm, EST)
Los Angeles Dodgers First Five Innings Team Total Over 2.5: (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Speaking of struggling pitchers, Aaron Civale has severely underwhelmed this season as the newly acquired Chicago White Sox pitcher is averaging an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.500. While he has managed to improve on his ERA since being traded, his WHIP has shot up to 1.688 in his three starts with the White Sox.
Unfortunately for Civale, his struggles are poised to persist as he faces off against a Los Angeles Dodgers offence that currently leads the league in most key offensive metrics. Especially with his back end failing to mask his low level of play on the mound, as the White Sox defence ranks below league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.
About the author
Kody Malstrom
Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.
Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.
When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.
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