S&P 500 Futures Technical Analysis for Today with tradeCompass – June 23, 2025
tradeCompass Summary for June 23, 2025 Bullish above: 5,991 Bearish below: 5,982 Current price at the time of this analysis: ~6,000 Directional bias: Bullish until proven otherwise Partial profit targets (Bullish): 6,008, 6,019, 6,024, 6,032.5, 6,056, 6,063, 6,100 Partial profit targets (Bearish): 5,974, 5,957, 5,935
After a tense geopolitical weekend marked by U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, futures markets opened with a sharp downside gap. However, instead of a continued drop, S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) staged a surprisingly strong recovery. Within the low-volume early hours of Sunday night (U.S. time), ES surged nearly 49 points from the session low of 5,959 to a high of 6,007.75, closing above the critical 6,000 round number.
At the time of writing, ES is hovering slightly above 6,000 and, more importantly for our methodology, above today’s developing VWAP at 5,991, which we define as the bullish threshold in today’s tradeCompass.
Bullish Trade Plan for S&P 500 Futures Today: Key Levels and Entry Strategy
For clarity and risk control, here are the tradeCompass bullish partial profit targets for today:
6,008 Near Friday’s value area low (VAL) and Thursday’s value area high (VAH). A common zone for intraday scalpers and automated liquidity-taking algorithms.
6,019 Correlates with a high-volume node (HVN) from Friday. A sticky zone likely to attract short-term activity.
6,024 Just beneath the point of control (POC) from Friday, a powerful volume-based magnet.
6,032.5 Above Friday’s VAH. This is a mid-distance target that may attract profit takers before the market pauses or consolidates.
6,056 and 6,063 Medium-term targets aligned with the POC and VAH of June 18. These offer opportunity for swing traders or "runner" portions of intraday positions.
6,100 (optional runner) The round number and potential weekly magnet. If the market fully digests the geopolitical shock and resumes risk-on momentum, this becomes the high-probability gravitational level.
Bearish Trade Plan for S&P 500 Futures Today: Downside Targets for Short Traders
Once that threshold is crossed to the downside with confirmation (e.g., 15-min close below, or strong negative delta momentum), the following bearish partial profit targets are relevant:
5,974 Just above Thursday’s value area low (VAL). A quick-hit target ideal for scalpers or as a first scale-out for short positions.
5,957 A critical POC from early June. This level may bring in buyers, so locking in profits ahead is prudent.
5,935 This is the value area low from June 2—a monthly-level support. If ES trades this low, it reflects a significant shift in sentiment and opens the door for deeper correction.
Explaining the Key Technical Concepts in Today’s S&P 500 Analysis
VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) represents the average price at which an asset has traded throughout the day, weighted by volume. Institutional traders frequently use VWAP as a benchmark:
Price above VWAP indicates buyer control.
Price below VWAP shows seller control. But beyond its calculation, reaction to VWAP matters more. A price bouncing cleanly off VWAP implies strong sentiment at that level.
The POC is the price level where the highest volume occurred during a session. Think of it as the "fairest" price—the one most agreed upon.
When price breaks away from the POC with strength, that often signals a new directional move.
The Value Area represents the price range where 70% of a session’s volume traded.
VAL (Value Area Low): Lower boundary. Support if price is above.
tradeCompass Strategy: Principles Behind Today’s S&P 500 Forecast
Key tradeCompass principles include:
One trade per direction per compass. If you went long and hit targets or got stopped, you don’t re-enter long today. Same for shorts.
Take partial profits at logical levels. Pros don’t hold for the moon—they take profits into liquidity. Letting a runner trail is smart, but not relying on one giant move is smarter.
Protect your capital after progress. After your second partial profit, move your stop to entry. Let your winners breathe, but never turn them into losers.
Stop-loss placement is contextual. While tradeCompass doesn’t dictate your stop, you must never place a stop beyond the opposite threshold. That’s the line where your trade logic breaks.
Confirmation styles vary. Some traders enter on the first touch of a level. Others wait for confirmation, such as a 15-minute close or clear delta shift. Adjust to your comfort level.
Whether you’re an active trader seeking directional setups or an investor trying to read market sentiment, today’s tradeCompass on the S&P 500 provides several advantages:
Cuts through news-driven emotion. Instead of reacting to headlines, follow how price interacts with real levels of liquidity and participation.
Provides a structured map. Know where you are and where you might be going. Whether price bounces, breaks, or consolidates—tradeCompass gives you waypoints.
Helps manage risk and psychology. Partial profit-taking, stop placement guidance, and scenario planning help you stay disciplined.
Keeps you adaptable. Bullish bias doesn’t mean stubborn bullishness. If price crosses below the bearish threshold with confirmation, you flip the map.
Final Notes: Where to Find More Trade Ideas and What's Coming Next
For more live market guidance and educational updates, visit ForexLive.com.
And remember: ForexLive is transitioning into InvestingLive.com later this summer, bringing more tools, in-depth analysis, and decision support for retail and institutional traders alike.
Be ready. Stay informed. See you on the next tradeCompass.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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